<p>yeah, it would be an extremely bad predictor of anything.</p>
<p>kind of like predicting how much rain is going to fall for the night by looking at how much rain there was from 8-9 oclock</p>
<p><em>looks at the sky thoughtfully</em></p>
<p>lol good analogy though</p>
<p>Makes absolutely no sense to me though. Those it mean that the rain will remain constant or that it will grow stronger or weaker?</p>
<p>I don't think it would vary very much at all. And it wouldn't be like predicting how much rain is going to fall for the night by looking at how much rain there was from 8-9 o'clock... It would be like predicting how much rain is going to fall in October by looking at how much rain fell in September and comparing that data to years in the past. Which is perfectly feasible.</p>
<p>The proper argument wouldn't be that it's a "bad predictor" but that it would most likely be different with EA and ED, and they haven't been doing EA long enough to be able to make accurate predictions.</p>
<p>how many EA apps are there? like a couple thousand? it's not enough to predict anything. its like trying to predict rain to the inch</p>
<p>YOUR WRONG OK JUST ADMIT IT</p>
<p>First of all, calm the heck down please. Secondly, I'm not talking numbers, I'm talking percentages, I think. And third, I was pretty sure someone speculating and asking a question (which I was) can't be asking a /wrong/ question. I'm sorry my speculation prompted in you such anger and poor spelling.</p>
<p>ya, thats what i thought</p>
<p>ur wrong, and i'm rite</p>
<p>hey you are aggresive ivy</p>
<p>thanks <em>wink</em></p>
<p>I don't think that that was a compliment. At least to me, but what do I know. I am getting rejected for sure. I think they are going to send me extra rejection letters too. I was sifting through my college folder the other day and lo and behold what did I find? My short answer essay for yale. I typed it and forgot to ever attach it to the common app. One of the downfalls of applying by paper. They are going to say where is his short answer essay? We don't want that kind of carelessness here. REJECTED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1</p>
<p>would you rather be aggressive or passive?</p>
<p>Well I don't know if it is better to be loved or hated. But I would go with Machiavelli and prefer to be hated</p>
<p>This isn't the OR game here guys!!!! :)</p>
<p>I guess it is. </p>
<p>Darkness or light?</p>
<p>how do you figure 30-50%??</p>
<p>cc applicants are usually a lot stronger than avg applicants... is acc rate is 20% cc is probably at 35-40</p>
<p>Not at all, princetonwannabe...16.5% is the actual rate, and last year 20% of CCers got accepted...and the difference could be attributed to a low sample size. I wouldn't make any predictions based on it, and for sure, it would be highly highly unlikely if 35-40% of us got accepted. It'd sure be nice though...</p>
<p>they accept 16.5% EA and defer like 40%, but out of that ~40% how many are accepeted RD</p>
<p>I've heard (I can't remember where) that they accept 20 to 30% of those they defer. But that doesn't sound right to me.</p>
<p>Ahh I was just calculating this with my dad yesterday...About 43% got deferred last year, but obviously some of them got in later in the regular round. As for the percentage of deferred applicants that ultimately get accepted, I've heard numbers from 8-14%, so let's assume that it's about 10%. That means that 4.3% of EAers get deferred and then accepted, making for a grand total of 16.5+4.3=20.8% EA acceptance rate. Which I'd take any day over 8%...</p>
<p>still...deferral just seems so cruel. I really think that Yale should defer a much smaller group, so that the kids that get deferred actually have a chance and not just false hope :(</p>