<p>cdz, unfortunately, the rankings are legitimate. Michigan has dropped to #27. </p>
<p>And contrary to what some of you may think, the drop in rankings had little to do with selectivity. The USNWR assigns very little weight to acceptance rate (as well it should since acceptance rates are meaningless). Michigan’s selectivity rank is usually anywhere between #18 and #2. Although I have not yet seen the last selectivity rank, I doubt it has dropped out of the top 25. </p>
<p>What most likely caused Michigan’s drop over the last 2 or 3 years are the following four factors:</p>
<p>1) Graduation rates: Michigan’s graduate rates have improved over the years, from slightly over 80% to slightly under 90%. However, the differential between “predicted” and “actual” graduation rate has dropped significantly (from 10+ to less than 5) over the years and that has hurt Michigan in the “graduation rate” section. Overall, I think the graduation rate section is too rigid. I agree that graduation rates must be taken into consideration when ranking universities, but the USNWR differentiates at a micro level and does not take certain variables into account. Is there a noticeable difference between a graduation rate of 93% and a graduation rate of 88%? And does it matter if the predicted graduation rate is much lower than the actual graduation rate? Obviously not, but the USNWR will distinguish between those broad-brushes and assign very different ratings to them. </p>
<p>2) Faculty resources. Michigan’s Faculty Resources rank last year was not even among the top 60 last year. This REALLY hurts Michigan. If you remove this criteria alone, Michigan would probably be ranked among the top 20. I believe that the USNWR should hire a third party auditor (like E&Y or D&T) to go over the numbers reported by the various schools because I have seen some very strange changes in this section over the years. And even if the numbers were audited and all reporting inconsistancies were weeded out, the concept of faculty resources must be taken into context. Does class size always matter? Are some subjects or courses taught as effectively with 20 students in the classroom as with 40 students in the classroom?</p>
<p>3) Financial resources. Michigan’s financial resources rank is generally decent (top 35 or 40), but the USNWR does not consider the fact that tuition at public universities are already highly subsidized for in-state students. This is one ranking where separating public from private makes sense since the finances at those types of universities work very differently. The USNWR is essentially comparing apples to oranges and public universities are being treated unfairly.</p>
<p>4) Alumni giving rates: That’s the least telling and most useless criterion used by the USNWR. There are two reasons why public universities will always have lower alumni giving rates than private universities: (1) Public universities have much larger undergraduate student population than private universities and therefore, their alumni network is much harder to reach in its totality and (2) public universities have not needed alumni donations to remain financialy stable until the 1980s because state support was more than sufficient to meet the cost of operation. Private universities on the other hand have always needed alumni support to survive and have been relying on alumni support for generations. </p>
<p>Those are the four primary reasons why Michigan is ranked so low and why it continues to drop in the rankings. I think eventually,two things are going to happen:</p>
<p>1) The USNWR is going to abandon the alumni giving rate as a ranking criterion (perhaps keep it as one of the side rankings that do not impact the overall ranking) and will separate public from private when it comes to financial resources.</p>
<p>2) The USNWR is going to have to hire a third party auditor to go over those numbers. This should REALLY level the playing field. </p>
<p>At any rate, I would not worry too much about the rankings. Michigan may drop to #28 or #30, but it won’t drop lower than that. In the long term, I believe Michigan will always remain one of the academic pillars and will always be given the respect it deserves where it matters most. The Michigan Peer Assessment score has always hovered between 4.4 and 4.5 (or been ranked between #7 and #13 in the nation). That will not change in the foreseeable future. </p>
<p>GO BLUE!</p>