<p>It would seem that the preliminary figures are out and Michigan received 42,000 applicants for the fall of 2012. This represents a modest 8% increase in the number of applicants, which is actually good news for students who were deferred or who applied RD. I anticipated over 46,000 applicants, which is significantly more than the current estimate of 42,000.</p>
<p>Based on this number, what do you think the acceptance rate will be?</p>
<p>That would depend on the yield and on the administration’s genuine wish to limit its class to the 5,700 they claimed they wanted. Given the fact that Michigan was wise to keep two supplemental essays, I think most applicants to the University were serious enough to give it a second look if admitted. As such, I expect the yield to hold at around 40%. So, basic math would suggest that in order to end up with a class of 5,700 with a 40% yield rate, Michigan should not accept more than 15,000. However, I doubt Michigan will act on what it said. I expect the University to admit 16,000-17,000 applicants, bringing a class more in line with the administration’s true desire (~6,500 freshmen). </p>
<p>So, if Michigan sticks to its earlier claim and genuinely attempts to bring in a freshmen class of 5,700, the admit rate would be roughly 36%. On the other hand, if it proceeds like it has much of the past decade and overenrolls, then the admit rate would likely be around 38%-40%.</p>
<p>Why is it their true desire to have 6500 freshmen? Housing won’t be able to handle that many freshman on top of the number of the large than supposed to be class of 2015.</p>
<p>^Why do concert promoters like to sell out a concert $$$</p>
<p>Just returned from Campus day over the weekend (got to see a great UM vs OS BB game, but that’s a different story).</p>
<p>School officials reaffirmed their commitment to the 5,700 number and congratulated all the admits on being chosen to the most competitive class in UM history (FWIW). Obviously, they could underestimate the matriculation %'age by just a smidge! and all bets are off.</p>