5.0% Projected RD admit rate for Yale - Admission Data Chart for Ivies + Stanford/MIT

Colleges and Universities A-Z Yale University
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<p>Hi all. I compiled the admission data for all of the Ivies + Stanford/MIT. Based on last year's admit numbers and this year's application pool, Yale will have the lowest RD admit rate out of all the schools (5.0%). In contrast, Harvard will have a 6.3% admit rate and Princeton will be at 8.4%. </p>

<p>If you would like to see the data for the remaining schools (total admits, defer rate, etc.), see the spreadsheet I made here:</p>

<p><a href="http://dl.dropbox.com/u/17525393/Admission%20Data.xls%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://dl.dropbox.com/u/17525393/Admission%20Data.xls&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p>

<p>Hopefully this can keep everyone distracted while we all anxiously wait for results.</p>

<p>Disclaimer: I made this out of boredom. This is just a projection, and is by no means an exact representation of what will happen come April. There are also many lurking variables affecting the numbers (e.g. ED/EA/neither).</p>

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<p>I thought Yale was going to admit slightly over 2000 applicants?</p>

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<p>^I used exactly 2000 admits in the calculation. If you add 20 more, that brings the RD rate to… 5.05%. Not a big difference.</p>

<p>And if you don’t count the people accepted off the waitlist, the RD admit rate would be 4.7%.</p>

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<p>It says total admits 1940, though even with 100 more admits I suppose it doesn’t make that big of a difference.</p>

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<p>I realize its a faint ray of hope but the actual number of admits last year was 2039.</p>

<p><a href=“http://www.yale.edu/oir/open/pdf_public/W033_Fresh_Admissions.pdf[/url]”>http://www.yale.edu/oir/open/pdf_public/W033_Fresh_Admissions.pdf&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>A similar number this year would bring the RD rate to 5.4%.</p>

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<p>^Total admits do not include those accepted from the waitlist. Therefore, I changed the number of waitlisted admits to 99 from 60, raising the RD rate to 5.13%. (Unfortunately, it’s not quite as high as 5.4%)</p>

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<p>I hope you’ll realize how your creative inclusion of the deferred pool hides the fact that a school could have a lower (projected) overall admit rate AND a lower SCEA rate (12.7 vs 14.5) but a … higher “regular decision” admit rate? </p>

<p>Funny how that works!</p>

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<p>I saw this and shat myself. </p>

<p>I figured that since a. they had the smallest increase in applicants, b. i sent my best or second best supplement essay, and c. I predict a very good interview that Yale was the reach school that I was most likely to get into.</p>

<p>5% odds. Looks like we’ll have to take them folks. WOOOOOOOOAAAAAAARRRRGHHHHHH.</p>

<p>^that’s my frustration releasing groan-scream.</p>

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<p>weeeeeeeell 5% is better than nothing…kinda…ish</p>

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<p>this just makes me really sad inside</p>

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<p>Are athletic recruits counted under SCEA or regular admits?</p>

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<p>Somebody better tell “Harvardhottie”.</p>

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<p>Princeton had a smaller percentage increase and the interview has no bearing on your chance of admissions.</p>

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<p>@Yelopen: It has minimal impact you mean; I was merely pointing out that the “me” Yale would see would be the best “me” that any college would see.</p>

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<p>Yeah, none of it is fun…. :confused: </p>

<p>I’ve already been rejected by one of the HYPSM (S and my previous top…) and am trying for the rest, all RD. Don’t worry though, thinking about chances, none of it’s easy but I think the (R)(SC)EA/ED pools are far more competitive and there blemishes may show more. (And one area of my stats is far more than a blemish…. :/), but in RD I think there’s more variety of apps (in all directions, really) which really gives more competitive applicants an edge if you’re looking for specific stat breakdowns.
STILL, the only way to guarantee you won’t be admitted is not to apply. If you complete an application, then you have a chance. :)</p>

<p>Oh and thanks for the chart!!</p>

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<p>No, it really pretty much has none lol. There are several instances of people, including myself, whose interviewers have tried to push them in over and over to admissions and still didn’t get in. I’m not sure how much better interviewers can do than that. Obviously I don’t know about everyone, but chances are nothing good will come out of it.</p>

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<p>@Yelopen: Well, from your experience. Despite what happened to you and your ancedotals, I don’t think you can definitely say anything is for sure no. </p>

<p>[Advice</a> on Putting Together Your Application | Yale College Admissions](<a href=“http://admissions.yale.edu/advice-putting-together-your-application]Advice”>Advice on Putting Together Your Application | Yale College Undergraduate Admissions)</p>

<p>Interviews are counted here under “Putting Together Your Application”. I think this means they have some sort of weight.</p>

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<p>Yelopen, the thing is, the interview has minimal impact BUT, it still exists, there’s still a slight advantage, though I agree, not much of one…</p>

<p>Adchang, why did you send “your best self” only to Yale? You honestly want to get a Harvard rejection and be able to think, “well, if I has sent them my best supplement instead of only my third best, I would’ve gotten in…”? If you spent the money and trouble of applying, why the heck didn’t you make it the best application you could send, period?</p>

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<p>I’m asking AGAIN - Are athletic recruits counted under RD or SCEA?</p>

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<p>@ECazndb8r: I never said that I purposely made any of my applications better than others. I tried as hard as I could on all of them. Some essays just ended up better than others because they were easier topics to write on, and some supplements were more me-friendly than others.</p>