<p>Congrats. See ya at Camp Yale.</p>
<ol>
<li><p>The yield rate last year - contrary to the YDN's claim - was 66.8% (1,308 matriculants from 1,958 admits - as the CDS form clearly shows.) The YDN fails to understand that when you take people off the waitlist, they are additional admits.</p></li>
<li><p>The main reason for any slight yield increase this year (and the true number of admits and matriuculants won't be known until September) is that, despite a smaller EA pool than last year, Yale admitted 710 students SCEA vs. 674 last year. The yield from the early pool is 90% - meaning that nearly half as many admits were necessary to fill those 36 seats as would have been necessary if they had been filled from the early pool.</p></li>
<li><p>Assuming that as many deferred SCEA applicants were admitted as last year (249) , then somewhere between 70-75% of the class will consist of people who applied SCEA rather than ED.</p></li>
</ol>
<p>Do you mean RD? I'm confused.</p>
<p>No. This figure is for preliminary overall yield. We do not yet have a breakdown as to the yield on the 710 SCEA admits, or on the 1,170 RD admits (who included an as yet undetermined number of SCEA applicants initially deferred.)</p>
<p>"3. Assuming that as many deferred SCEA applicants were admitted as last year (249) , then somewhere between 70-75% of the class will consist of people who applied SCEA rather than ED."</p>
<p>I just don't get where ED factors into this. I thought you meant that 70-75% of the class would be Yale students who applied SCEA rather than RD. I'm sorry, it's a stupid question, I just don't get it.</p>
<p>not to mention the fact that it seems like a lot of RD candidates got "likely" letters...</p>
<p>Byerly means that the people who apply early to Yale (just as most people who apply early) WANT to attend that school. The average matriculation rate of ALL people who apply early to Yale (whether they were admitted early or deferred early, then admitted regular) is 90%...(although I've heard 80%).</p>
<p>Anyway. So since they took more people who applied early this year than last year (keep in mind, this is the group that has the 90% matriculation rate), it is reasonable to say that a higher overall matriculation rate would also occur.</p>
<p>"Byerly means that the people who apply early to Yale (just as most people who apply early) WANT to attend that school. The average matriculation rate of ALL people who apply early to Yale (whether they were admitted early or deferred early, then admitted regular) is 90%...(although I've heard 80%)."</p>
<p>Yeah, I got that part. And I think it hovers around 88%</p>
<p>It was 88% for the Class of 2008. (593 out of 674)</p>
<p>Last year, 249 SCEA deferreds were later admitted as part of the RD round. I do not know what fraction of them matriculated, but it seems reasonable to assume it was a fairly high fraction.</p>
<p>can yale house all of them?</p>
<p>Haha, isn't Yale known for over admitting? I met sophomores there that were complaining that Yale overadmitted for their class (Class of 2007).</p>
<p>This is great news, though. Congrats for Yale!</p>
<p>They should shut their mouths, as it's perfectly likely that the overadmittances led to their acceptances.</p>
<p>Since when is 1,340/1,880 = 72%?</p>
<p>Rounded up. They do that.</p>
<p>How do you round up 71.3 to 72?</p>
<p>That is modern math, which you only learn at Yale.</p>
<p>For the class of 2007, Princeton had an initial 9.98% admit rate, and they rounded it DOWN to 9.9%.</p>
<p>They kept advertising the "9.9% admit rate" even after summer melt and waitlist action brought it up to 10.3% or so, as shown on their own CDS form!</p>
<p>Ah, I guess that's it for the waitlist.</p>
<p>Byerly, why did Yale's projections be so far off? They accepted 70 less kids than last year and yet 40 or so more chose to attend. Is it entirely due to the favoring of the SCEA plan?</p>
<p>Byerly--according to your reasoning, the fact that Harvard's yield is higher than Yale's is largely--if not entirely--attributable to the fact that Harvard offers admission to a significantly larger percentage of its total class in the early round. </p>
<p>Here are the numbers: Harvard admitted 885 students in the EA round, out of a total of 2074 admits (42.67%); whereas Yale admitted 710 EA out of 1880 total admits (37.76%).</p>
<p>As for the idea that deferred SCEA candidates are more likely to matriculate than RD admits, do you have any evidence for this beyond "it seems reasonable to assume it was a fairly high fraction"? It seems just as reasonable to me to assume that a fairly high fraction of deferred applicants were ticked off at Yale and transferred their affections elsewhere.</p>