<p>The number of acceptances at the University of Chicago is fairly constant because they only have so much room for students. The classes of 2010 and 2011 have had 1141 and 1217 acceptances respectively. Those two acceptances averaged equal 1179. The number of applications sent in have increased by a little more than 30% (3041 for the class of 2011 to 4349 for the class of 2012). </p>
<p>Using the average of the past two year's acceptances for early action, I get:</p>
<p>1179/4349 = 27.1%</p>
<p>However, I do suspect that the number of acceptances EA will be higher than last year's class because of the Harvard and Princeton spillovers. People that previously applied to Harvard and Princeton EA and schools like Chicago RN, are now applying to Chicago EA. For that reason, the portion of the 3600 or so acceptances that are distributed between EA and RN applicants should increase for EA. So, I speculate that the number of EA applicants accepted will be about 1300, making my personal estimation:</p>
<p>1300/4349 = 30%</p>
<p>Is it plausible to estimate that the early action acceptance rate will be between 27% and 30%?</p>
<p>1) I don't know
2) I don't think it's worthwhile trying to figure it out.</p>
<p>I do anticipate a high deferral-acceptance rate, though. In previous years, there have been a lot of defer-accepts, but I expect even more this year given the rise of EA apps. If Chicago gets a stronger pool of EA applicants this year and loses some of them to HYP in the regular round, they'll have to start re-examining their "maybe" students from EA.</p>
<p>zfzxzzza -- what? Where did you get that 40% figure? Here's the latest data I have:</p>
<p>Class of 2010: 9,542 applied, 3,673 were accepted. 3673/9542 = 0.385, or ~38% For the calls of 2011, I would expect the acceptance rate to be around 34%.</p>
<p>Nobody knows for sure how they will model expected yield, but it is fair to assume that the acceptance rate will drop to the very low 30s or high 20s.</p>
<p>I believe that the EA acceptance will probably dip below 30%, maybe even to 25%, but that deferral-accepts will rise by a huge amount. They have to accept fewer applicants EA, figure out how screwed up the yield is, and then reevaluate again next year based on that.</p>
<p>SCOmathmo: the class of 2010 applied two years ago. Furthermore, that's the whole class, the acceptance rate for EA is generally higher (for 2010 it was 41%; for 2011 it was 40%; and, I endeavored by making this thread, I am trying to estimate the acceptance rate for 2012.</p>
<p>And I know all of this is pointless because they have my application and everything, but you wouldn't believe how worried I am. I feel that I have to know my chances as best as possible.</p>
<p>"but you wouldn't believe how worried I am"</p>
<p>Its a really nerve-racking time of life, and everyone has their own way of getting through it. The only thing that I know of that makes it easier is having applications to a likely or two (and a financial safety) submitted - so you know you will have options.</p>