Absolutely brutal PSAT curve; best guess for Commended Cutoff for Class of 2021?

Sorry, I was lurking. I was worried about this, too. I live in Chicago, and public schools were unable to offer the PSAT. I was able to sign up for a test earlier in the year at a suburban high school, but my selection index score came to be a 220, which is 1 point lower than Illinois’ past selection cutoff score. Since Chicago public students tend to make up most of the high scores, would that means that it is likely for the cutoff score to decrease?