UC’s ONLY look at Sophomore and Junior grades, to form your UC GPA. Senior year matters for 1° course selection (rigor) and 2° not getting any grade below C.
So if you have a 3.2, your odds are that you’ll either get UCR/UCM, or won’t. UCSC would be a reach. Look at the UC threads this year to see the stats of students who were waitlisted/denied…