Admissions Timeline

I understand that Wisconsin has two notification periods and that it has a rolling admissions system. I also realize that you aren’t guaranteed to hear back (assuming you submitted your application in the first notification period) until January. But I was just wondering, from past admissions cycles, when the very first admissions decisions come out? I finished my app in early-mid Ocotober; is it likely I’ll hear before Christmas?

I realize this is all speculation, I was just curious as to other peoples’ thoughts.