<p>"
26% of the College ED pool and 22% of the Engineering ED pool were deferred.
Admit rate for ED defers is 15% in the College and 12% in the Engineering School.
44% of the College ED pool and 28% of the Engineering ED pool were denied admission.
"</p>
<p>It is fair to assume that those of us on CC, historically, demographically, etc. are in the top half of applicants to Columbia. Okay? Okay.</p>
<p>Therefore, we are highly unlikely to get a rejection letter, since it's only the bottom 44%. Okay? Okay.</p>
<p>That leaves 56%. If only 26% are deferred, that means that we have a higher chance of getting admitted than getting deferred!</p>
<p>For SEAS, it's even better. You all are easily in the top 72% of applicants. If only 22% are deferred, that means...you have about a 2.5:1 chance of getting in!</p>
<p>And don't forget, if you're deferred you can still get in, you're more likely to than the average applicant!</p>
<p>Statistically speaking, the odds of me getting into SEAS are (about) 50:50 if they got 252 applications and accepted outright 118 last year. I say to myself, "Self, you've beaten odds waaay harder than that..." but it still doesn't help make me any more comfortable.</p>
<p>If one person gets in, one other person has to be out. What if, for once, I'm the one left out?</p>
<p>I guess it's a glass half empty/half full thing. Half chance of getting in, half chance of not. Or the applicant pool is twice as large as it needs to be ;p</p>
<p>I really don't wanna be deferred--that would be the WORST. I can't handle another 4 months of uncertainty.</p>
<p>the "Admit rate for ED defers" shouldn't be added to the other two percentages because it is calculated based exclusively on deferred applicants whereas the other two are based on the whole ED pool. </p>
<p>Now if you ask where the other 30% went (26% defer + 44 % reject = 70%)...they were accepted ED of course :)</p>