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How does berkeley go about identifying students who don't have what it takes to cut it?
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<p>I have explained this numerous times on other threads. It's not that hard. You perform a statistical data mining experiment. You go back through all of the old student records, and regress the variables that correspond strongly with a high chance of flunking out. </p>
<p>It wouldn't be that hard to do. Think of it this way. Berkeley has elite graduate CS and statistics departments. All you would need to do is create a summer research project fpr some of the graduate students in those departments to create this model. As an added bonus, you could allow them to publish their model in an academic journal (you could just scrub the model for privacy purposes, and just allow them to publish something generic). You let them publish, and you probably wouldn't even have to pay these students (or, at worst, only have to pay them a nominal fee) as graduate students are always looking to publish interesting research in order to boost their academic careers. </p>
<p>To give you an example of some possible results, perhaps it is found that one particular high school seems to produce an disproportionate percentage of students who come to Berkeley and flunk out. So then the answer is to simply start admitting fewer future applicants from that high school. Either that high school is just doing a poor job of preparing its students for Berkeley. Or students in that town are just not prepared for Berkeley. Whatever it is, it doesn't matter, all that you need to see is that, for whatever reason, those from particular high schools just don't do well. And if it turns out that other high schools produce plenty of students who do extremely well, then you should start admitting more students from those high schools. </p>
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Is this more of the school's problem (ie should they make it easy to graduate) or is this something the student should identify and deal with?
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<p>You could do it either way. It doesn't matter to me. I happen to think that the first option is more feasible, in the sense that if it's the school's problem, then the direct answer is for the school to stop admitting those students who are highly likely to flunk out anyway. I never said anything about making it easier to graduate, but I do advocate tightly matching admissions decisions to the likelihood of graduation. </p>
<p>However, if you want to invoke the 2nd option, you could do that too. I think it's harder, but you could do it. For example, you could run a system where people are admitted despite the fact that they may have a relatively low likelihood of graduating, but then we warn the student ex-ante that the data indicates that he is relatively unlikely to graduate. Then we leave it up to the student to decide whether he still wants to come to Berkeley. Perhaps to make the process less harsh, we could then strongly recommend that these students bone up on a bunch of refresher texts regarding those particular subjects for which it is statistically shown to be likely that he will have problems. For example, perhaps it is shown that students from a particular high school who come to Berkeley are unusually likely to fail Chem1A. Then the answer would be to counsel all future admittees from that high school to carefully review their basic chemistry before they come to Berkeley. Or just not take Chem1A at all. Or get them a chem tutor. Whatever.</p>
<p>My major concern about the 2nd option is that it does seem to place a large onus on the student to do the right thing. Let's face it. These are just kids we're talking about here. Kids do short-sighted things all the time. We can warn a kid that we think he really needs to bone up on his basic chemistry. But what if he just chooses not to do it? We can tell a kid that we think there's a high chance that he wil flunk out of Berkeley and so maybe he should consider another school. But what if he matriculates anyway? By placing the onus on the students, you are presuming that they are all perfectly rational, mature, and responsible players, but if that really were the case, then you wouldn't have these problems in the first place. All students would then be very hard working and serious about their studies, and they would all choose majors that are completely appropriate for them, and they would all know how to leverage the strengths of Berkeley while avoiding all of the weaknesses. But we know this is not happening.</p>