<p>One again playing Cassandra to JHS's Candide, . . .
I don't know why QMP's classmates' experiences with college applications were different from the relatively happy outcome described by JHS, in which "In general, the kids agreed with the choices the colleges made."</p>
<p>I did not observe any backbiting among QMP's friends or acquaintances. I saw anxiety, but the students tended to calm each other down. I saw a tad of envy, perhaps, but not much. There was no sense that the admissions process was a zero-sum game, although there may have been more overlapping applications than JHS's children and their classmates had.</p>
<p>But I saw one superbly qualified applicant (not related to us), with all of the "stats" and none of the personal disqualifiers that are often attributed to students with 4.0/2400/2400/all 5's on AP's/post-AP/sports/state-level awards, for whom the outcome was completely unexpected. It happens occasionally. I'm still trying to figure out why.</p>
<p>I also saw very strong, but not as exceptionally well-qualified students, who had outcomes that the other students (and I) would not have predicted. We live in a suburban community, where many of the families have known each other since the children were in elementary school, or even pre-school programs--we know each other pretty well.</p>
<p>A guess? If the outcomes for students in your children's high school have been predictable or at least sensible in the past, they will probably continue to be predictable. If not, they probably won't suddenly become predictable.</p>