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Med schools are making plans to do virtual interviews with candidates in case “stay at home” orders are still in force or if public transportation becomes problematic or spotty.
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I think there is a non-zero chance that the entire upcoming application cycle may be cancelled.
Why? There is bottleneck building in medical education.
Current MS4 will graduate (assuming they’ve accumulated sufficient clinical hours to meet graduation requirements) and move on to residencies since the Match has occurred and contracts have been signed.
However, as of right now, all away rotations for students have been cancelled. This means current MS3 will not have a chance to do audition rotations at programs they hope to Match to. It also means that students who hope to enter competitive specialties or specialties that require LORs from programs other than their home programs have a big problem. Step scores may become even MORE important, as will school reputation. Also many students will not be able to do a sub-I in their anticipated specialties–another huge disadvantage since almost every specialty expects/requires a sub-I LOR from applicants.
Additionally, since all MS3s were removed from clinical rotations in mid-March, they are short clinical hours. Many schools have already pushed required MS3 rotations into the MS4 year. This means even less time for electives and sub-Is, not to mention mandatory MS4 rotations.
I think it’s quite possible if this epidemic continues, students may not have enough mandated clinical hours to qualify for graduation. The LCME has already announced it will not ease the number of clinical hours/rotations for graduation since doing so is a disservice to students, their future residencies [which cannot accommodate students who lack basic clinical skills and experiences] and their future patients.
With the continuing closure of clinical rotations to med students, current MS2s cannot advance to MS3 (which is nothing but clinical rotations.)
Current MS1 probably the least affected since at most schools since they have another year of didactic instruction.
Incoming med students have already been informed they may be attending med school via online instruction. This means certain foundational, hands-on courses (e.g. anatomy & physiology) will need to pushed into the MS2 year and that will in turn delay the beginning of the actually MS2 curriculum by 8 weeks, which in turn delays the start of MS3 by 8 weeks, and so forth. There just isn’t that much flex built into the medical curriculum.
So this bottleneck plus the expected difficulties applicants will face getting their transcripts and LORs and the cancellations of MCAT dates (NY & CA testing sites are now closed through the end of May) --all totaled together means it’s quite possible med schools will simply cancel a year.