<p>Is there any chance the acceptance rate for deferees in the RD round will increase? compared to last year, yale deferrred 48% opposed to 62% - a major drop. I don't know what this means for our chances later on.</p>
<p>(I don't believe what the letter says that they expect us to have the same chance in RD lol)</p>
<p>Your mom got deferred.</p>
<p>Sorry, I'm just ****ed.</p>
<p>Anyways, I predict the RD rate will drop from 5.8 to 5-ish (any lower and people won't apply because the app process literally involves having Handsome Dan "Mark His Territory". So like, 1 out of 20. Good Luck!</p>
<p>and Sorry about the your mom thing.</p>
<p>I remember them saying that they can't say that the EA kids have a better chance in the RD round, but "hint hint wink wink".</p>
<p>I find it hard to believe that the RD acceptance rate will drop to 5%. It was around 8% last year, so that's a drop of 37%.</p>
<p>Considering that so many fewer people were deferred this year, I would think the deferred acceptance rate would HAVE to go up from last year.</p>
<p>^ nah it was 8.3% overall last year (SCEA & RD combined).</p>
<p>When you know how many applications are in the RD pool (including EA deferrees), you will be able to predict the RD admission rate almost precisely. Yale only has room for about 1,350 freshmen, and it can't accept more than about 1,900 applicants if it doesn't want people sleeping in closets. It accepted 750 yesterday, so there's about 1,100 slots to fill, maybe a handful more. No one will make any decision about what percentage of anyone they admit. They'll just pick 1,100 people out of however big the pile is, and that's what the RD admission percentage will be.</p>
<p>Based on last year, an RD pool of around 22,000 looks about right. So 5% RD admissions looks about right, too.</p>
<p>Does anyoen know what the exact deferred-then-accepted rate was last year? I know that for MIT, it was 10%.</p>
<p>i think the status of deferred applicants is actually worse than most people think. i was deferred, and i feel like Yale is simply telling me, no you aren't good enough, but we won't reject you in case no one better applies.</p>
<p>Since the number of accepted EA students was dropped sharply from 885 to 742 (*** lol) that means that Yale is anticipating a higher than ever RD applicant pool and wants to save 100 or so more spots for the RD round, perhaps to do some damage mitigation, so instead of 18.5% and 5.7% (EA then RD), we have 13.1 and 5-7%ish RD. </p>
<p>This year, Yale was much more selective about who they deferred. They deferred LESS and they different more qualified students - meaning with an attempt to keep the RD rate the same, deferred acceptance rate is going to be HIGHER than it was last year. Because the deferred student pool is better this year, and less spots have been filled - many deferred students are ones that I am sure Yale already has spots saved for.</p>
<p>Thus, confirming my theory.</p>
<p>
[quote]
Does anyoen know what the exact deferred-then-accepted rate was last year?
[/quote]
As far as I know, this number has never been revealed.</p>
<p>I agree with Nick017. Sound logic.</p>
<p>it sounds all hopeful to me.. but i doubt many of us will be picked off from the list. in my opinion, definitely lower than 10%... lower than 5% i think.</p>
<p>but that's just my ungrounded speculation</p>
<p>I think there is every reason for optimism. According to the links given here <a href="http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1061427249-post20.html%5B/url%5D">http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1061427249-post20.html</a>, deferred admissions typically run ahead of "normal" RD admissions (some posters here have denied this). And, as has been pointed out, this year's deferred pool is probably stronger than past ones as there are about 50-100 applicants in it who would usually have been in the SCEA group and more applicants removed from it than usual who have already been denied.</p>
<p>It should also be remembered that, in addition to a probable statistical edge over the average RD applicant, the average deferred applicant has already demonstrated a relatively high degree of interest in Yale which could be beneficial to admissions chances. In this regard it cannot hurt your chances to continue demonstrating that this initial interest is undiminished.</p>
<p>Of course, ultimately selection rate will depend on the number of applicants in the RD pool. We do not yet know how large this will be.</p>
<p>Let's not lose perspective here either, guys. Plenty of people who apply to Yale are not likely to get accepted. If you were "on the cusp" of being deferred because you're a top competitor for admission, you're no less likely to ultimately get in now than you were on December 14th.</p>