“Most likely however, we should assume if their point in going TO was to provide more access to kids that wouldn’t have normally gotten in, that average for the TO students would be lower and effectively lowering the average score from 1520 to sub 1500.”
This is good reasoning; however, part of the goal of TO was to get those kids to actually APPLY. So, they may have very low scores indeed (so not including those scores will obviously raise the average) BUT - they wouldn’t have applied but for TO, so the average would have been higher anyway. That speaks to the upward trend that we do see in the stats between Class of '21 (8.7% admit rate) and Class of '22 (7.2% admit rate). So I think you have to allow for that upward trend to apply to the Class of '23 as well, given their 6% admit rate. And that would be apart from any upward bias due to TO.
We just got the October SAT results and the kid scored a perfect 800 on Math. So if we superscore we’ll be at 1540. I think we will submit these scores. Now the kid is thinking REA at Stanford which was always the dream school. I’m thinking it’s still a stretch, although our schools sends more kids to Stanford than UChicago.
Congrats to him! A 1540 is a good place to be. Does S superscore or do you have to submit all scores? He can REA to S and then EDII to UChi if deferred. My son did the same with Yale last year. He’s at Chicago now and very happy. EDII really opens up a whole bunch of possibilities!
OP - make sure he knows it’s fine to self-report. My kid saved a TON last year because so many schools are allowing that now. And no more stress about whether the school gets the “official” score ontime . . .