At what point is a college no longer considered "a Reach for Everyone?"

I think some may have misunderstood my question. I did phrase it poorly
I it was a question about the college, not from an individual standpoint.
I guess I should also limit it to just academics, I’m not a sports person and have never seen it from that perspective.
here’s the original question, rephrased. sorry:

which college should rarely, if ever, go on an applicant’s list anywhere under “reach”? at what threshold is it less absurd to put a college in match?(this is for any applicant short of nobel prize winners and whatnot)

I am asking this from the viewpoint of a strong, but not part of the ‘exception’(so yeah… no million dollar donation scheme, etc.)
@ucbalumnus I did avoid the words “admission rates” for that very reason

@gardenstategal got my question(more or less)! hooray!