Avg student...chance me(UVA,Vt,Lehigh..more)

I’m a pretty average student tbh I don’t have many hooks or incredible awards so chance me?
I am pursuing Aerospace Engineering (and Mechanical at the schools aerospace isn’t offered, which is most of these)
In-State Virginian Resident (NOVA)
Ethnicity: Nepali, so Asian on the form
I’d be taking most of the price of the school in loans, with maybe a 10k contribution from my parents each year, we are middle class.
Schools (In order of how much I want to go to them):
UVA
VT
Lehigh
Lafayette College
Purdue University
UMD College Park (Doesn’t offer much aid to OOS :/)
VCU & GMU (my two safeties)

GPA/Sat: 4.1 W/1470 (710 Reading, 760 Math), don’t know if the essay matters at all but I had a 20 if it does
Grades were mostly mixed between B+'s, A’s, and A-'s but there is a clear upwards trend from freshman year, never had anything lower than a B+
Rank: School Does not rank
AP’s taken (including this year): World History(4), Chemistry(4), Physics(2…haha), Comp Sci A (4), Lang (4), Physics C, Statistics, Calc AB, US Gov
Sports: XC & indoor & outdoor track 4 years (including this year), I’m not a star by any means and my school is really good so I’ve just been JV for xc but I had varsity for track last spring and hopefully this winter and spring too,
Honor Societies: The typical Math, Science, Spanish (opted to go to Spanish 5 this year instead of AP), and National
Volunteering: Nothing big, just helping at the library and local parks sometimes :confused:
Leadership: No president, but treasurer/officer of 3 clubs that are just volunteer and science related such as Physics Club and Civitan (volunteering)

Other Clubs/Activities: DECA (went to nationals every year since sophomore year, hopefully this year as well)
VASTS (week long residential program based at CNU/NASA facility I got into and attended where we worked on planning a Mars mission and presented to NASA panel)

Recommendations: Excellent, Science and Math Teacher, both know me very well, however Counselor is new this year so hers might not be a great

Essay’s: Really good, still revising (650 word), haven’t done college specific ones

So yeah, what are my chances? My dream school would be UVA for engineering :confused: Alot of the people who go there have a gpa in the 4.3’s so my 4.1 probably hurts my chances. If I didn’t apply EA, my GPA would be a 4.15 by RD if I get all A’s (likely), maybe that would help for UVA? But it would be harder to get in RD as well and less aid would be given
Thanks!

Most of these schools are within your reach based on your SAT alone being significantly higher than their average. But your GPA bogs you down for UVA- expect about a 5-8% admission chance for Virginia.