I honestly don’t have much expertise on the UCs so can’t give a really good chance on specific schools. Hopefully someone else on CC can answer that question for you. If you don’t get in, look at schools like UW Madison, Ohio State, etc. These are pretty good universities where you should be able to get in.
All the UCs have acceptance rates at or below 35% and they put lots of emphasis on GPA so you might not get in.