<p>SES and collegekid: the fact is almost EVERYBODY will be rejected. Two years in a row, Y has under 10% acceptance rate. This year's entering class is the lowest accept rate of any class of any Ivy in history. The app numbers are just that shocking. </p>
<p>Some do get in. I don't think there is a statistical pattern of deferred ED/EA applicants in the RD pool. I'd assume that some years it's good, some years it's bad.</p>
<p>For readers on this site, this statistical guessing game can't really yield any benefit other than to allay or add to worries.</p>