There was another poster who got some numbers from TAMU’s Student Business Services- these numbers are for Engineering program only … but the point is to utilize the past data to study the trend of the increase intervals. Keep in mind the interest increase rates are compounded yearly in variable and your rate is the published rate at 2020 for fixed for next 4.5 years (engineering program, almost all others are 4 years).
There is no crystal ball to determine the future rate trends and each economist will give you a different perspective like the weatherman- so at the end of the day- it could be a difference of few hundreds of dollars. You will need to ask yourself is that worth the risk or for peace of mind.
My kiddo is a Blinn Teamer- she will take 8 hours at Blinn and 6 at TAMU for 2 years (Public Health- pre med track, so science heavy). Since I’m only paying for 6 hours per semester at TAMU for first 2 years, I could potentially save on the fixed rate plan when she goes FT at TAMU on her 3rd/ 4th year. I’m not much of a risk taker (hence why I got a Fixed mortgage vs an ARM). Also, there is a time limit, so if you don’t think your kiddo will finish in the 4 years, that’s something to consider.
Credit: @JediDadHouTx
This is what I found based on the following data:
Rates for a resident, full-time, undergraduate, College Station student in the College of Engineering:
Locked Rate:
2015-2016 - $5,538.70
2016-2017 - $6,015.19
2017-2018 - $6,123.42
2018-2019 - $6,491.12
2019-2020 - $6,646.91
Variable Rate:
2015-2016 - Not introduced as an option
2016-2017 - $5,853.87
2017-2018 - $5,959.20
2018-2019 - $6,182.12
2019-2020 - $6,330.44
Analysis (Sorry, tables don’t paste well)
Entering Engineering Locked Rate
College of Engineering Semester Year
Year Locked Rate % Change % Change 4 years Total tuition
2015-2016 $5,538.70 $11,077.40 $44,309.60
2016-2017 $6,015.19 $12,030.38 8.60% $48,121.52
2017-2018 $6,123.42 $12,246.84 1.80% $48,987.36
2018-2019 $6,491.12 $12,982.24 6.00% 17.20% $51,928.96
2019-2020 $6,646.91 $13,293.82 2.40% 10.50% $53,175.28
Semester Year
Variable Rate Variable Rate % Change % Change 4 years
2015 N/A
2016 $5,853.87 $11,707.74
2017 $5,959.20 $11,918.40 1.80%
2018 $6,182.12 $12,364.24 3.74%
2019 $6,330.44 $12,660.88 2.40% 8.14%
The percentage increases are smaller, BUT if you look at the total 4 year cost of the variable plan,
If you entered in 2016 VARIABLE, you paid: $48,651.26 VS $48,121.52 on locked plan (saving $ 529.74)
If you entered in 2017 VARIABLE, you paid for 3 years to date: $36,943.52, on locked plan x 4 years = $48,987.36
That means, in order for senior year variable to be cheaper than locked, VARIABLE tuition has to be: $12,043.84
BUT we know the last time tuition was less than $12,043.84, it was 2017 at $11918.40.
Variable Tuition will be at least $12,660.88 (This year).
Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results, but at least for the College of Engineering, the Locked plan is the better option.for the entering class of 2016 and 2017.