Can I get into UCLA (Stats are best case scenario)?

UW GPA: 3.81
W GPA: 4.10 (I swear this will kill me in admissions) (UC GPA btw)
WC GPA: 4.03
SAT: ~1540
ECs: Model United Nations, AYSO, local Swim Team, National Honors Society (will apply Senior Year)
Volunteer: Friendship Circle, 12 hours of community service in Costa Rica over summer (both have not happened yet)
I live in LA and go to a fairly affluent school, but if I had to guess, I would be in the top 15-10% if all goes well this year. Also, something important is that I do suffer from ASD (though I am high-functioning), so I plan to write about that in my essay. With those things in mind, how are my chances?

Can you get in, Yes. Will you get in is up to admissions. I will post some statistical data for the all the UC’s so make sure you apply widely since they are very predictable and with around a 11-14% acceptance rate, UCLA will be a Reach for most applicants. Also remember stats alone will not get you into any UC but the whole application package will be taken into consideration.

2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 10%
UCLA: 9%
UCSD: 34%
UCSB: 38%
UCD: 41%
UCI: 38%
UCSC: 70%
UCR: 84%
UCM: 95%

2018 UC capped weighted GPA averages:
UCB: 4.23
UCLA: 4.23
UCSD: 4.16
UCSB: 4.13
UCI: 4.13
UCD: 4.11
UCSC: 3.96
UCR: 3.81
UCM: 3.71

2018 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT:

UCB: 1360-1540

UCLA: 1340-1540
UCSD: 1300-1520
UCSB: 1270-1500
UCD: 1220-1480
UCI: 1230-1490
UCSC: 1210-1450
UCR: 1130-1380
UCM: 1020-1280

* LOS ANGELES

  • Very important: Academic GPA, Application essay, Rigor of secondary school record, Standardized test scores
  • Important: Character/personal qualities, Extracurricular activities, Talent/ability, Volunteer work, Work experience
  • Considered: First generation college student, Geographical residence, AP/IBHL exam scores
  • Note: GPA, test scores, course work, number of and performance in honors and AP courses most important. Essay considered. Strong senior program important. Extracurricular activities, honors and awards also reviewed. For the College of Letters and Science, the applicant's major is not considered during the review process. The Henry Samueli School of Engineering and Applied Science admits students by declared major, with more emphasis on science and math programs. The School of Nursing also places more emphasis on science and math programs and requires the submission of an additional supplemental application. The School of the Arts and Architecture; Herb Alpert School of Music; and the School of Theater, Film and Television admit students by declared major (within the school), and put more emphasis on special talents through a review of portfolios and/or auditions, which are the most significant admission factors for these schools.