The most anyone can say is if you are in the range (better to be at the high end) for GPA and test scores of admitted freshmen, your application will be seriously considered. Then it will become much more of a qualitative assessment of your essays, EC’s, awards and recommendations, and other factors that become part of a holistic process. There is no magic formula or set path that guarantees admissions in the highly selective colleges. As I mentioned above, there are plenty of cases of kids with perfect or near perfect academic records and test scores and a seemingly impressive set of awards and EC’s who do not gain admissions. There are plenty of kids who get into Y but not H (or any other selective school and vice versa). Like I said above, every college applicant needs to have a realistic set of reach, target and safety schools. HYSPM and others are a reach for even the tippy topmost students.