Several years ago I posted my daughter’s stats. I think you should take a look, as she’s a Yale reject: http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/harvard-university/1619966-ivy-standards-for-rigor-of-highschool-curriculum-p1.html.
FWIW: Give it your best shot going into sophomore year, but as the competition is so fierce for a spot at Yale, you may have to adjust your sights when it comes time to applying to college.
When an Admissions Officer looks at an applicant’s EC list they are looking for engagement, meaning have you devoted a significant amount of time (measured in years) to something outside of academics. The idea is that your drive, commitment and energy is a “transferrable skill” that could be re-purposed to another activity in college or later in life.
If you have shown a long term devotion to something beyond academics, you’ve made the first cut (EC wise). However, then things get a bit random and totally out of an applicant’s control. For example, let’s say one of your EC’s is playing an instrument – violin, piano, tuba (it doesn’t matter). And last year, the Admissions Committee accepted 12 students who play your instrument, well that doesn’t bode well for your chances this year. Ditto, with any other EC you can imagine. So, sometimes a student will be accepted on the first-cut, only to be rejected for a random reason such an oversubscribed EC from a previous year or this year.
Bottom line: Forget about the word “passion” and just do what you love to do. If you end up being accepted you will have done it because the things you are doing are close to your heart. If you are rejected, you still will have done the things you’ve loved, which will make for a much better, more satisfying high school experience.
Best of luck to you!