Carnegie Mellon Chances?

(I go to a rigorous private school which is expressed in the school profile that my counselor sends out)

UW GPA: 3.7 (My school doesn’t rank)
ACT: N/A
SAT: 1490/1600
SAT II: 800 Math II 750 Physics
AP: AP Calculus AB- 5 AP Physics 1- 5 AP Microeconomics- 5 (My school doesn’t offer AP until Junior Year)
AP Next Year: AP Calculus BC, AP Physics, AP Probability and Statistics

ECs:
Varsity Ice Hockey for 4 Years
Club Ice Hockey for 4 Years
Volunteer at LVHN Hospital for 2 Years
Coached and Volunteered at Lehigh Valley Special Hockey for 2 years
Fundraised for NAMI Mental Health Charity
FRC Robotics Team (Chief Strategist) Junior+Senior Year
Physics Lab Assistant at Lehigh University
HOSA Health Club (President)
Economics Discussion Club (Founder and President)
App Development Club (Programming in Swift)
Moravian Academy Chess Club (President)
Chess Club (President)
Advanced Photography and Photoshop/Lightroom Skills
National Merit Commended Scholar

Recommendation:
My History Teacher- He loved me, got an A+ in his class, always talked with him about out of class topics, likely 10/10
My Physics Teacher- Also head of our Robotics program, got A+ in both classes, likes me a lot, likely 9.5/10

Major: Physics

gpa and sat a bit low