The holistic approach by admissions staff will certainly assist you in the process but schools 1-4, and 6 will be reaches. On the other hand of the remaining 10, I would not be surprised if you obtain admission to at least half the schools. Your bigger challenge is to make a lucid and cohesive statement as to why for each of the top schools. It should speak of direct knowledge of each school (they are not interchangeable) and how you fit and would to their academic community. Best-