Chance me (Emory and Oxford)

Hi guys, I’m applying to both Emory and Oxford (wavering between EDII and RD), and was wondering if you could tell me my chances for both. Thanks!

Applying for Political Science/Economics

I go to a very highly-ranked public school in Massachusetts. I am white, my family is upper-middle class, and both my parents went to college and grad school. I don’t have legacy.

GPA: 4.8/4.2 weighted
Rank: Unreported, but approx. 10/125

SATs: 2270 (750 reading, 740 writing, 780 math)

Subject Tests: 770 (US History), 710 (Math 2)

APs (All 5s): US Gov, US History, Statistics, English Language

Extracurriculars:

-I write articles about the NBA for multiple major websites, including NBA.com
-Assistant to a city councilman in neighboring city: he wrote me a very strong recommendation
-Interned for two congressional campaigns, a governor’s campaign, and a mayoral campaign, putting upwards of 15 hours/week into each
-Debate: lots of single-tournament awards and stuff. Made NCFL nationals one year. Held an officer position on my team. Have a pretty high distinction from the NSDA.
-Journalism: One of the head editors on the school paper, received a New England Regional award for an article I wrote
-Varsity XC/Track
-Have a bunch of community service, including working with the school’s environmental organization
-Student representative to the district school committee
-Class representative to the guidance department advisory committee

Recommendations:

-Great outside recommendation from a city councilor I’ve worked for
-Unsure about my guidance councilor/teacher recs, but I assume they should all be good

Essays:

-Common app essay is like a 7/10, could maybe use an upgrade
-My supplements are still a work in progress, but solid so far

Thanks guys! Let me know what you think