@laphysica, obviously Tulane is not a low match, as the candidate unfortunately did not get accepted. Her credentials are excellent, though, and I do think she will get into a few of the schools on her list. It all depends on what they happen to need for this year’s class. See this article for a very good explanation of the thinking that goes into this process from the point of view of the admissions office. (http://tuadmissionjeff.blogspot.com/2015/12/its-going-to-be-okay.html).