Chance me for uc santa barbara

i am a senior right now, could someone chance me for ucsb??

female
gpa: 4.18
sat: 1250
elc eligible student (within top 9% of my class)

ap classes:

ap euro: 3
ap chem: 3
apush: 4
ap english lang: 4
senior year aps: ap lit, ap stats, ap micro, ap macro, ap gov, ap psych, + french 4 honors
(took advantage of every ap at my school besides like ap art and ap physics)

applying into psychological and brain sciences

extracurriculars:

  • black student union (10 & 11)
  • helped start club that tutored elementary school kids (10)
  • reading partners volunteer: tutored elementary school kids in low income areas reading and comprehension skills (11)
  • project ride: provides therapeutic horse riding for special needs kids (autism, down syndrome, cerebral palsy) (11 & 12)
  • volunteer at emergency department in hospital (12)
  • started a national alliance of mental illness club at school that i am president of (12)

essays:

  1. most significant challenge you’ve faced: wrote on challenges as an african american student
  2. taking advantage of educational opportunity to overcome challenge: taking advantage of tutoring and breaking out of my shell when taking ap chem as i was the only student in the class who wasn’t in science based activities like biotech
  3. leadership: talked about implementing new teaching methods to a student when tutoring and how it increased her success
  4. favorite academic subject and how youve shown interest outside of the classroom: connected taking psych and developing a passion for it which led into my idea of starting a national alliance on mental illness club

i believe that my extracurriculars connect to my major well and the fact that i mentioned i want for become a child psychiatrist but i’m scared that they won’t think i’m dedicated bc i put like 1.5 hours per week for every activity besides 2 and realized that i undermined the actual amount of work i put into them. also only 2 of the activities i’ve done for 2 years, the rest have only been a year or less for the ones i started as a senior. do you think this is a problem?

Your UC GPA is well within range, but your SAT is below the 25th percentile. UCSB luckily considers 50% academics and 50% Essays and EC’s in their application review. They really like an emphasis in volunteer and community service. I would say 50/50 chance or better. Best of luck.

Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific: 
UCSB: 38%

2019 UC capped weighted GPA averages along with 25th-75th percentile range:
UCSB: 4.16 (4.04-4.28)

2019 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT totals:
UCSB: 1280-1520