Chance me UCs

Chance Me / Match Me!
1

GPA: 3.69 unweighted, 3.97 capped weighted, 4.18 uncapped weighted Top 15% of class

AP Euro (3), AP Chem (4), AP Calc BC (5), AP Physics C (3)
Senior Year APs: Stats, Spanish, Art Hist, Econ, Bio
Community College Courses: US History (B), Psychology (A)

SAT: 2210
Subject Test: Chem (800) Math 2 (800) Planning to take Bio (Molecular) soon

Extra curriculars:
Academic Decathlon (2 years), CSF (2.5 years), Key Club (3 years), Science Olympiad (4 years), Thirst Relief (2 years), Engineering Society (2 years)
Leadership roles: Thirst Relief (art chair, secretary), Engineering Society (secretary), AcaDeca (treasurer), Boy Scouts (patrol leader)

Personal statements don’t seem very good but will improve

Intended major: Biology
In-state, Asian, female

Please Chance me for UCLA, UCI, UCR, UCSD, UCSB, UCD

2

SAT breakdown: Writing 750, Math 800, CR 660

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I will be glad to chance someone back!

4

UCLA: Low Reach
UCSD: High Match
UCI/UCSB/UCD: Match
UCR: Low Match/Safety

Good Luck and work on those essays. Well written essays and outstanding EC’s can boost your chances.

5

@cucumbers101 Well this is simple enough. For UC riverside you have a 96% to 100% chance of admission based on your gpa and test score. For UC Irvine you have a +83%-90% chance of admission based on gpa and test scores. For UCSD you have at least a +70% chance of admission based on gpa and test scores. For UC Santa Barbara you have at least a +71% chance of admission based on test score and gpa. For UC Irvine you have a +75% chance of admission based on tests scores and gpa. Finally, for UCLA your gpa put you at a slight disadvantage however you more than make up for this in terms of test score therefore your chances of admission ranges from 50% to +60%.

You have a very good chance of admission in all the UC’s based solely on academic credentials, also the fact that you are an instate applicant gives you a slight advantage.Worth mentioning that UC universities are very Asian as on average 40% of the student body identifies as Asian, also when you take into account the majority of internationals are also Asian then that could go up to 50%. Therefore, I guess you would feel more welcome in a UC? Anyway, hope this helps and good luck.

6

@Ali1302 Thank you so much! Did you mean that I have a 83-90% or +75% chance of admission at UC Irvine?

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@cucumbers101 Sorry my mistake. The 75% admit rate was for UC Davis. The 83%-90% admit rate is for UC Irvine.

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@Ali1302 and @cucumbers101: I do not know where @Ali1302 is getting their information but the in-state admit rate for UC Davis was 32.8%, UCSB was 33.5%, UCSD was 30.2% ,UCI was 33.4% and UCR was 56.7% last year. Here is the link from the University of California website:

http://www.ucop.edu/institutional-research-academic-planning/_files/factsheets/2015/fall-2015-admissions-table2.pdf

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I think @Ali1302 was not serious (joking?) in his assertions. Right Ali?

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I think you’ll get into all of them. :slight_smile: Good luck!

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@uclparent9 Absolutely not! When you look at the acceptance rate at ucla for students with sat scores above a 2100 it currently stand at 51.89% assuming the admit rate would be higher for scores above a 2200 then the acceptance rate for someone with a score above a 2200 is anywhere from 56% to 65%. In addition to this individuals with a 4.0 gpa have 61.39% admit rate.

Here are the stats for UCLA: http://www.admissions.ucla.edu/prospect/adm_fr/Frosh_Prof14.htm

I doubt they would change that much this year as I believe applications have reached there peak at 90,000. At fall 2013 the admit rate for an unweighted 4.0 gpa was 70.49% and a score above a 2100 was 55.83%. Here is another link to the previous year:
http://www.admissions.ucla.edu/prospect/adm_fr/Frosh_Prof13.htm

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@Gumbymom Most UC’s breakdown their admissions statistics more than just instate, out of state and international. As I stated before the admit rate for someone with an sat score above a 2100 is 51.89% therefore if @cucumbers101 has an sat score above a 2200 the admit rate would go up to 55%-65%, her unweighted gpa is around 3.7 which lets her down but I do think she still has a +50% overall chance of admission. links above.

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Can anyone confirm @Ali1302 's stats? I would love to believe Ali’s reasoning/stats that she found, but is it really true? I have a 35 Act and 3.78 UW and 4.25 W (10-11th), and I’m only using this as an example, not hi jacking this thread. And I still think I have less than ATLEAST a 30% chance of being admitted.

14

@Ali1302 when you come up with a crude chance of “+83%-90%” for someone, then give me the right to assume that you were joking than being ignorant about the basics of statistics! If the uncertainty in someone’s chance is about 7% then you do not confine the range from a number such as 83! In situation like that people say between 80 to 90% or if you want it a little tighter, like 85 to 90%.

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You need to look at Uw GPA, according to UCLA chart above, this person has about 5% and then about 50% chance for the SAT. Then if you unionize these two chances, OP actually has about 5% chance to UCLA. This confirms with many people we know and from naviance. There are other soft factors which can’t be chances like essay, your major, your ECs.

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@DrGoogle I think you read the stats wrong? the 5% admit rate you mentioned was for fully weighted gpa. If your fully weighted gpa is in the 3.7-4.0 gpa range you have a 5% admit rate however the OP is at the upper end of that range and I doubt that stat is accurate here plus the OP uncapped weighted gpa is 4.18. What really matters here is the unweighted gpa which the OP has around 3.7 gpa that gives a 27.11% admit rate. That’s why I said gpa could let the OP down but she has a 2200 SAT score that boosts her chances over 50% for admission. This is because UCLA has a 51.89% admit rate for people with sat scores in the 2100-2400 range. The OP is near the upper end of that range so the admission chances are in the 55%-65% range. Overall I believe the OP would have an over 50% admit rate for her application factoring everything in and mainly from the boost of her high sat score. The 5% admit rate you mentioned doesn’t apply here.

Here’s the link again so you can check again: http://www.admissions.ucla.edu/prospect/adm_fr/Frosh_Prof14.htm

17

You need to read carefully, OP has 3.69 and not 3.7, so this person is on the band for 5% admit rate and not 27% admit rate.
Plus SAT doesn’t mean anything for UCs.

18

@DrGoogle Are you seriously going to lower her chances by 45% based on 0.01 gpa difference from 3.7 to 3.69? Seriously? I mean you’ve got to be kidding right?

In addition to this you state UCs could care less about the sat yet students with sat scores in the 2100-2400 range have a 62% chance of admission? Please explain why you think that’s the case?

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I just interpreted the data. Seriously or not, why do you bump up her GPA. I know candidates with 90-95% chances and didn’t get in, according to the chart in the link. I think it’s wrong to give people false hope. GPA is more important to UCLA and UCB.

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also, I don’t think 2210 isn’t the upper end of 2100 and 2400?