Chance of getting into UC Berkeley

Currently a junior
California resident
UC Unweighted GPA- 3.88
UC Weighted- 4.875
Pretty good extracurriculars but nothing too crazy.
I plan on taking 4 APs senior year

What are my odds of getting into UC Berkeley??

UC capped weighted? SAT/ACT scores? Intended major? SAT II subject test scores? HS course rigor?

34 ACT
1 AP freshman year, 4 sophomore year, 5 junior year, 5 senior year.
Psych Major
4.22 capped weighted I think
3 Bs first semester sophomore year, straight A’s second semester sophomore year and all of junior year.

Your stats are good enough to to put you in that low reach/match category, based on stats alone. However, if you go thru the stats in the acceptance threads you will see numerous high stat rejections and waitlists. But you’ll also a see a lot with decent but not spectacular stats get in also. So as a holistic admissions process, everything comes into play in addition to stats - class rigor, what HS you attend and their historical acceptance numbers, essays, ECs, leadership, community outreach, SES of the students in the school, overcoming hardships, etc.

Some UC Statistical data:
2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 4.20 or above capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 37%

2018 UC capped weighted GPA averages:
UCB: 4.23

2018 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for ACT:
UCB: 30-35

Application Review criteria:

  • BERKELEY
    *
  •   Very important: Academic GPA, Application essay, Rigor of secondary school record, Standardized test scores
    
  •   Important: Extracurricular activities, Volunteer work, Work experience
    
  •   Considered: Character/personal qualities, First generation college student, State residency, AP/IBLH exam scores
    
  •   Note: Thorough review of academic performance; likely contribution to intellectual and cultural vitality of the campus; diversity in personal background and experience; demonstrated qualities in leadership, motivation, concern for others and community; non-academic achievement in the performing arts, athletics or employment; demonstrated interest in major.
    
  • LOR’s by invitation only as of 2017
    Division (L&S, CNR, CoC, CED, CoE) matters for admission selectivity.
    Within CoE (but not the other divisions), major matters for admission selectivity. Changing majors within the CoE after enrolling is not guaranteed, unless one is CoE undeclared.
    Note that L&S admits students as undeclared; admission to capped            majors (e.g. CS, economics, psychology, ORMS, statistics, art practice,         and a few others) is by college GPA in prerequisite courses (and                portfolio for art practice) after attending for a few semesters.

Thank you!

Merged similar thread with updated information:

Currently a Junior

White Female

California resident

UC Unweighted GPA- 3.88

UC Weighted- 4.875

UC Capped- 4.21

ACT- 34 but I will be retaking it and I’m aiming for a 35

Terrible grades throughout Freshman year. (All B’s and C’s)

Diagnosed with ADHD (possible essay prompt?)

3 B’s first semester of Sophomore year.

Straight A’s second semester of Sophomore year and both semesters of Junior year.

9 APs throughout Sophomore and Junior year.

Decent extracurriculars but nothing too crazy.

1 AP freshman year, 4 sophomore year, 5 junior year.

I plan on taking 4 APs senior year.

I plan on applying with either psych or political science as my major

What are my odds of getting into UC Berkeley?