Chance of RD after deferred?

I was deferred from Tulane today
34 ACT
4.33 GPA (weighted) 4.0 (unweighted)
Decent ECs (NHS, volunteer, camp counselor, job during summer and school year)
OOS
Didn’t tour but did Paul Tulane app, emailed and called admissions, good Why Tulane essay, went to school meeting

If I tour and write a letter of continued interest within the next few months, would there be any chance of me getting in RD?

My daughter is a similar candidate and in the same boat. Unfortunately I think with Tulane that the chances of getting in RD are incredibly small. For the most part I think it is ED2 or bust for most of the kids deferred from EA.

For what it is worth you are in good company. My daughter’s good friend is national merit, 36 ACT, lots of good EC, under represented minority, but she did not visit. She was also deferred.

I haven’t been able to find stats anywhere on deferred students getting in RD. Is that published somewhere. Do you mind sharing what your friend’s daughters GPA is?

My daughter’s friend who was deferred has a 3.9 UW all her classes have been honors and AP. The most rigorous at a highly competitive top 100 high school. She considered Tulane almost a safety school.

The RD admission rate I saw was 3%. Almost everyone at Tulane comes from ED or EA according to this. Here is the link if you want to see it.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/wtop.com/news/2018/11/10-colleges-where-early-applicants-have-an-edge-2/amp/

Question: If a student applies in EA round, is deferred, does NOT change their status to ED2, and then is eventually admitted, does Tulane consider that admit to be an EA admit or a RD admit? I’m asking because at the info session we attended the admissions rep said they only accept about 5% of students “who apply RD.” That to me means that the very low RD acceptance rate (be it 5% or 3% or whatever) is for students whose first and only application is RD. Thoughts?

Of course, Tulane’s acceptance rate is low however you slice or dice it, but I’m just not sure that deferred EA candidates are part of the super low 5%.

Also, to help the OP, here is a link to Tulane’s official admissions blog post on What To Do (and Not Do) if you are deferred: https://tuadmissionjeff.blogspot.com/2011/12/ive-been-deferred-now-what.html.

I would think that it would be considered an RD acceptance, not EA acceptance. So the bottom line is that if you don’t switch to EDII, your odds of admissions are going to be very low in the RD round as they will have filled much of their class in EDI, EDII, and EA. Like it or not, Tulane has done a great job of revitalizing their college after Hurricane Katrina and is now a highly sought after college that can play these admissions “games” to their advantage. It’s one of the “hottest” admissions in the country and the high stat kids who went ED that I know, almost all of them were accepted, the ones with as good as or better stats that applied EA were “deferred”.

With respect to @socaldad2002, I believe that EA applicants are counted as EA and do not convert to RD (in the statics reporting) - they are deferred to RD for decision. For my son’s cycle, class of 2022, there were EA applicants who were deferred to RD but mysteriously were accepted . @gratefulmama posted a link (post 250 on EA2024) to a post from my son’s admission cycle where that applicant was not only accepted but awarded DHS scholarship. As you must be EA to be considered, the applicant could not have been placed in the RD bin.

It is my belief the that all those that applied for the DHS and Paul Tulane scholarships are considered regardless of their admissions status - and my guess is that the work and effort shown by some of those applicants - was why there were changes in admissions status in the Class of 2022.

The data we don’t have is how many students apply EA. If the majority of the students are EA and we know a third of the class is accepted through ED - is there really that much of a difference between EA and RD decisions?

My D1, hs class 2017 (4.0 uw, 33ACT, 800 SAT French, 730 SAT Math 2) applied EA that year with a PT application, was deferred and then waitlisted when RD came out and never got in. D2 applied EA this year with same stats (w/o subject tests) and got in. The big difference between the two was demonstrated interest. D1’s Why Tulane was much more generic, while D2 used specific anecdotes and details abt Tulane’s culture and programs that made it her obvious top choice. Neither visited the campus but D2 did attend a local event.

My recommendation for anyone deferred that is truly interested in attending is to contact your admissions rep, email with follow up call a few days later, convincing them of your interest and intent to enroll. If ED2 is not an option due to finances, make that clear as well. Just accepting your deferred spot without the additional steps, will most likely not lead to an acceptance (like my D1).

MIT is the only university that I have found that posts its data on admissions. So here is the link to their data.

https://mitadmissions.org/apply/process/stats/

I imagine for Tulane that ED 1 and 2 are grouped as one admission rate. There is an EA admit rate. Those deferred to RD from ED 1 and 2 and deferred to EA - are then lumped with RD and share an admission rate which @FourAtShore’s reports as 5%.