Chances at Colgate University and Similar Schools?

Hello!

I am a rising senior who is planning on applying early decision I to Colgate University. I wasn’t too keen on applying before I visited the campus (visiting makes all the difference!!) and it is now my top choice. I would like some input as to whether or not I have a good shot at getting in.

My GPA is my biggest concern – 4.02 weighted, but hoping to bring it up next year (although it seems that that is going to prove very difficult)
SAT I: Old SAT - 2190 superscored, 2150 single, 1430 CR and math
ACT: 31 - 35 English, 32 Reading, 29 Math, 27 Science (I am planning on bringing my math and science scores up)
Subject Tests: Math II and U.S. History (Projected 800 on Math, above 730 on History)
I didn’t do well enough on my APs this year to receive credit at Colgate I plan on taking European History, Environmental Science, and possibly Spanish next year

Courseload:
Freshman Year
Art Experience
English I Honors
Biology Honors
Business Organization & Management
Plane Geometry
Spanish 2 Honors
World Civ Honors

Sophomore Year
English 2 Honors
Chemistry Honors
Algebra 2 Honors
Spanish 3 Honors
US History Honors
Media & Composition

(My school did not previously offer AP courses for underclassmen and juniors pretty much could only take a maximum of 2 APs, but I believe they are changing that next year)

Junior Year
English 3 Honors
Physics Honors
Precalculus
Spanish 4 Honors
AP US History
AP Studio Art

Senior Year
World Mythology and Archetypal Literature Honors
AP Environmental Science
Calculus
AP Spanish
AP European History
Honors Engineering
Honors Independent Study (Miscellaneous)

I have had two major concussions in less than a year which have definitely affected my grades…I’m not really sure how or if I should incorporate that into my application

Activities:
JV Softball (9,10)
JV Indoor Track (9,10)
JV Cross Country (11)
(^ these are embarrassing)
Student Council Representative (9,10)
Student Council Secretary (11, 12)
Military History Club (11, 12)
Gifted and Talented (9,12)
Graphic Arts Club Co-President (12)
National Honors Society (11,12)
Hand in Hand Club (9,10)

Work behind the counter at a restaurant
Volunteering - serve food for the homeless, tutoring disabled children
Habitat for Humanity
Teach kids at church–taught kindergarteners, becoming leader for kindergarteners through 3rd grade
Volunteering with Student Council at school
Went with church to Honduras for two years, taught English
Planning on applying to art competitions

My father attended Colgate University…I’m not sure whether that will help me at all
Not sure exactly what I want my career path to be yet, unfortunately
Planning on applying for financial aid
Asian female, competitive school
Strong recommendations from my guidance counselor and two of my teachers whom I have grown close with over the years, and my essay will hopefully be stellar.

I could also use some suggestions for safeties and targets as well. I am considering Bucknell and Lehigh and am not too sure where else to look.

I know I am lacking in several aspects so please don’t be too harsh but feel free to be honest as well. Thanks so much for taking the time to read!