Chances at UChicago?

Hey y’all, got denied by Caltech EA. But, I think my app works much better for a liberal arts school. What do you think about my UChi chances?

Academics:
Weighted: 5.37
Unweighted: 4.0
APs: 5-Calc AB, BC, Span Lang, Lang & Comp, Bio, World History, US History
4-Span Lit
Taking Now: Physics 1, Stats, English Lit, US Gov
SAT: 1530
ACT: 35
SAT Math II: 800
SAT Bio E: 770
National Merit Semifinalist (waiting on finalist)

Extracurricular:
Cross Country, 3-year Varsity and Captain
Track & Field, 3-year Varsity and Distance Captain
Speech & Debate, 4-year Varsity, Captain, President, State Champion, National Champion
Spanish Honors Society, President Emeritus & Global Ambassador
Gay-Straight Alliance, Member
Unified Democracy PAC, AZ Director
High School Dems of America, AZ Chair, National Committee Member
Alexandra4AZ, Field Organizer
Published 2 Books, Director of Urban Phoenix Writing Collective
Community Service as a Tutor and Youth Basketball Coach

Common App Essay: My take on the tram dilemma, and how debate has shaped my personal philosophy.
Supplement: Find X, talking about how we focus on material things, but we need to keep searching and finding x in our lives (it’s hard to explain succinctly)

Portfolio: Submitted a long poem from one of my books.

What do you think?

I forgot to add class rank, which is 1/440.

Same! Denied by Caltech and waiting for UChi and SAT 1530 too! Haha!
I think ur gpa is perfect! And your activities are much better than mine I think, especially a peom and a book. I’m wondering why Caltech rejected you.
From my perspective, you are a really good student for UChi. But it is hard to tell what the AOs are thinking.