Chances at UNC/NC State?

Hi, I am a female instate resident in NC. My top schools are NC State and UNC and I am applying EA. Chance me?

Residency: Instate (NC)
Ethnicity: White
Gender: Female
Unweighted GPA: 3.8
Weighted: 4.6
Class rank: 189/677 (I go to a large, competitive high school)
AP or IB: I will have completed 8 AP classes by end of my senior year and all other classes I have taken through high school have been honors.
-AP Psych
-AP English Lit
-AP Human Geo
-AP English Lang
-AP Microeconomics
-AP Stat
-AP Art History
-AP Earth and Environmental

EC: -3 years running Cross Country
-volunteer with elderly once a week
-active member of DECA
-Vice President of Environmental club
-active in youth group
-member of National Honor Society
-work as lifeguard in summer

SAT: 1250 (690 Reading, 560 Math) I am retaking SAT this October
ACT: 26

Teacher rec: Very strong, he allowed me to see what he wrote even though I told him I was fine with it remaining confidential.
Counselor statement: Haven’t seen but presumably strong as well

Essays: Incredibly strong, my mom died second semester my junior year (which caused me to go from straight A’s to a couple B’s). Since I am 18 and my parents have been estranged for last 10 years, I was named the executor of her will. I am writing my essay on how becoming her executor forced me to grow up by having to shoulder the financial, legal, and moral obligations I was tasked with. She also had a history of drug problems that I had to grow up with.