Chances at UVA, Bucknell, and Carnegie Mellon?

<p>My son applied to CMU Computer Science, regular decision. Here is his stat: </p>

<p>ACT: 35, (M-36, S-35, R-34, W-33, Writing-9)
Grade: 4.33(W)/3.88(UW)
SATII- Bio - 800, Math- 740, Phy - 710
AP Classes - Completed 7 AP classes ( ‘5’ in 4 and ‘4’ in rest 3 AP exams). Taking 4 more AP classes in Sr. year.
Awards - AP Scholar with Distinction, NMSF (waiting to hear about NMF selection),
Presidential Volunteer Service Award (100+ hrs of volunteer work in a year).
Work: Paid internship at NASA Ames Research center, developed a User Interface for node-locked surface modelling
Activities: Group leader of school Robotics club. Lead designer of the robots chassis.
Founder and president of volunteer club outside school, raised thousands of dollar for family homeless center, Tutor elementary school students; Teaching Asst. for AP CS class. Member of Symphonic Band (plays Violin). Played club soccer(competitive) until 10th grade and also member of school cross country team until 10th grade. Teen leader at city Teen Leadership Council(TLC).
Unfortunately, he missed the top 10% ranking by 0.04(Weighted) GPA. His ranking is around top 12% but school only does on decile basis. So, he falls into top 20%.
We noticed on his application status that, on Jan 28th, 2013, CMU admission office downloaded his CSS profile and FAFSA application and they waived student’s W-2 and tax-return information. We are wondering if the school doesn’t become interested in a student, will they still download their financial aid application? Why would they waste their time doing that if they know student won’t be admitted, looking at his/her application? </p>

<p>Anyway, any feedback would be appreciated. Would appreciate if you send your feedback through PM (Private Message).</p>