Chances EA In-State?

Objective:
SAT I (breakdown): 1540, 770 each
ACT:
SAT II: 780 Chem, 800 Math 2
Unweighted GPA (out of 4.0): 4.0
Weighted GPA: 4.396
Rank (percentile if rank is unavailable):
AP (place score in parenthesis): World History (5), BC Calc (5 w/ 5 AB subscore), Lang (4), Physics 1 (4), Chem (5)
IB (place score in parenthesis):
Senior Year Course Load: Multivariable Calculus, Linear Algebra, AP Lit, AP Bio, AP Gov, AP Spanish, AP Micro/Macro, one elective
Major Awards (USAMO, Intel etc.): National Merit Semifinalist, Meritorious Achievement Award from U.S. Public Health Service, 1st Place at Regional Science Fair, AP Scholar w/ Distinction

Subjective:
Extracurriculars (place leadership in parenthesis): NHS, Mu Alpha Theta, History Honor Society, Girl Scouts, Math and Chemistry Tutoring Clubs, Volleyball (player 9-10 and coach 11-12)
Job/Work Experience: Summer job at my pool
Volunteer/Community service: 100+ hours at a center for children with special needs, tutoring, 100+ hours at church events (fundraisers, donation drives, reading at Mass, etc.), other random activities involved with honor societies and Girl Scouts
Summer Activities: job
Essays: 8.5/10
Teacher Recommendation: 10/10
Counselor Rec: 8.5/10? big school so he doesn’t know me super well but he does have to spend more time on me b/c of national merit
Additional Rec:
State: VA
School Type: big public, extremely competitive
Ethnicity: half Filipino, half white
Gender: female
Hooks (URM, first generation college, etc.):

oh and I’m one of the leadership officers for NHS

Very low chance to get in.

You have an outstanding chance of getting in. I would be shocked if you didn’t. Good luck.

You seem to be a very strong candidate.