I think that your friends stats are genuinely impressive. This is what I see happening:
Harvard: low reach
Stanford: reach (though probably still a great chance)
UPenn: match/low reach
Duke: match
Columbia: low reach
UCLA: match
JHU: match
Good luck! Chance back? 
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1726672-i-will-chance-you-back.html#latest