Chances for top schools? (bored on a saturday night -_-)

<p>Have done a few of these but can someone please chance specifically for each school?
Location: Long Island, NY
Ethnicity: White {jewish} (mom is russian immigrant, dad is American)
School: Very good public (10-15 to ivies/duke/gtown/swarthmore each year, cornell feeder school)
Rank: N/A- top 1% of 350+ kids
GPA: ~97 UW, 99.2 W
SAT I: 2270 (taken once): 800 M, 750 CR, 720 W
SAT II: 800 Math IC, 800 Spanish, 700 bio (took soph year after taking REGULAR bio...retaking this year)
PSAT: 232 (NMSF)
Major Awards: Siemens Competition Regional Finalist, Bausch and Lomb Honorary Science Award, National Merit Semi-Finalist (hopefully finalist!), National Spanish Exam Gold x2, AP Scholar w/ Distinction (6 tests, 6 5's), All-County Jazz band and Concert band
Junior year: school weighs +2 for H and +5 for AP
Algebra II/trig H- 101 W
Chem H- 100 W
APUSH- 97 W
AP Lang- 99 W
Spanish 4H- 101 W
AP Psych- 101 W
ECs: <em>Clubs</em>- Scrabble Club (co-founder/co-president), Hebrew Culture Club (secretary), Latin Club, Jazz Band
<em>Trumpet</em>- All-county jazzband/concertband, Wind Ensemble (section leader, band got "Outstanding" at Nat'l competition @ Disney!), NYSSMA outstanding score category x6
<em>Sports</em>- XC- county champion team, state qualifier
Varsity Swim x4- division champions
Varsity Baseball- conference champions
another somewhat non-significant baseball activity: Travel Team went to 14u NABF nationals in virginia, I was the losing pitcher in the finals...lost on an error! :)
...7 varsity letters by end of high school
Jobs/Internships:2 summers= ~500 hours of cancer research at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (#2 cancer hospital in the country), lifeguard at local pool
Community service: Well, not much unless research counts? played trumpet and served veterans a few times on the holidays)
Schools:
Duke (ED)
Princeton (EA)
Yale RD
Stanford RD
Penn RD
U of Michigan RD
USC RD
Boston College
Northeastern (safety)</p>

<p>thanks!</p>

<p>Duke (ED) high match, but I will be surprised if you get deferred or rejected
Princeton (EA) reach, unlikely just like most unhooked applicants
Yale RD reach, ditto
Stanford RD reach, ditto
Penn RD lower reach with the best shot
U of Michigan RD lower match
USC RD low match
Boston College lower match
Northeastern (safety)<<<</p>

<p>You are a well-rounded, solid applicant who has a good list of schools. Hopefully, you are not dependent on lots of merit aid at some of the match schools on your list such as Michigan and BC. You have realistic shots at all and you just may even get into one of your Ivy/Ivy-equivalent schools in addition to Duke. You seem to have either reaches or lower matches. I’m kind of surprised that you didn’t consider some higher match/lower reach schools like: WashUStL, Rice, Northwestern, Georgetown, and Notre Dame* (*where being Jewish, like BC, won’t prevent you from attending:))</p>

<p>What’s your intended major?</p>

<p>Good luck!</p>

<p>Thanks for your opinion. It may not be obvious but I also plan on attending med school. The reason I applied to so many Ivies is because of their reputation for stellar FA packages (the more on my list, the greater my chances), so I need to save most of my money for medical school. Ex: Georgetown is need blind and is less likely to give me a good package. If I do go to the West coast (preferable), it has to be on a lot of mullah. But nothing is wrong with east coast, except I MUST leave NY. Midwest is eh</p>

<p>You are a shoo-in to be accepted to USC. It might almost be considered a safety. They love their National Merit Scholars so hopefully you will get a nice FA package from them. Don’t expect anything in the way of merit-aid from BC (I’m a BC parent) and very little from UMichigan. If the RD deadlines haven’t passed yet you might also want to consider Tufts, Emory, and Davidson-- good pre-med/science programs.</p>

<p>jshain, I am sorry that he “got you” too and that you (like me) took the time to respond sincerely and try to offer advice. This is a sophomore who has invented the above resume. While I admire his ambition, the information he posts just gets more and more ridiculous - this time it is a 232 PSAT…</p>

<p>Here is his first post from 11-2-2011 (though at this point I have to assume much of this is made-up as well):

<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1236167-what-ballpark-am-i.html#post13402259[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1236167-what-ballpark-am-i.html#post13402259&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

<p>The 232 did look suspicious… Thanks for responding!</p>

<p>I think Duke was a good choice for ED. You have strong stats but are from a way overrepresented pool. And feeders have lots of legacies, so who in your class has a hook at your school will be key.</p>

<p>Who knows, much will come down to your recs and essays at the ivies.</p>

<p>Waverly, the OP invented his stats, and is a sophomore.</p>