Chances for UNC-Chapel Hill

Chances of getting into UNC instate?

Ethnicity: Haitian-African American

(My school is pretty tough btw)
GPA: 3.78 (junior year)
Cumulative GPA: 3.114 ( without junior year grades)
SAT: 1850

I have taken almost all honors classes, and instead of AP classes I take colllege classes at LR univeristy (taken 4 so far, but did bad in spanish and got a D+)

Extracurriculars:

GYLC (China, Germany, Washington D.C
National Honors society member
Haiti Mission Trip
UNC project Uplift
Unc Catalyst Conference
4 years of basketball (captain for 3 years)
Model UN competition and team member
UCHS Service week volunteer (3 times)
Samaritans Purse volunteer (2 times)
Over 200 hours of service work
Soup Kitchen volunteer
William E. unverferht Award ( some big award)
JSA Summer Program: Princeton AP Macroeconomics class