Chances for UVa.

Virginia is my number one choice, although it is very competitive and I’m from OOS.

2130 SAT (710 CR, 690 M, 730 W)
32 ACT
4.98 GPA, 4.0 UW
IB program, very strenuous courses
Varsity soccer captain
Plenty of other activities/sports/service
Top 2% of county students

Do I have a decent shot?

Yes, you are a competitive applicant. No one on here can tell you more than that. If you are interested in attending, apply and put as much effort as possible into the application (especially the essays); if you do that, you stand a good chance.