Chances of getting in a SUNY

I am applying to the fall 2016 semester at SUNY New Paltz in a few weeks. My first semester at my current school I had a 3.88 GPA and mysecond semester was a 3.3. I am now on my third semester with a 3.42 GPA but hopefully higher after I complete finals. The transfer accepted GPA is a 2.75 but a 3.00 for my specific major. Let’s say I have above 3.42 when I send out my application in January. Do you think I have a shot?
Thank you so much for your feedback!