Chances of getting in?

So I am a junior currently and I am really stressed out about my chances of getting into certain colleges, specifically this one because it is one of my top choices- although I know it is a SUBSTANTIAL reach.

Currently my weighted GPA is a 94.618. My course load has included pretty much all honors since freshman year, and I took 3 APS this year. My school doesn’t really offer many APs, but I am going to take 3 more next year.

My biggest issue is that my freshman year a majority of my grades ranged from 87-90, which dropped my potential GPA ALOT. This year I currently have semester grades in the low to mid 90s, my worst being a 92. Another issue I am concerned about being a blight on my application is my 84 in Honors Chemistry, where half of my class both failed the midterm and the final. I’ve only taken the SAT once, and I am going to retake it once the stress of AP exams is finally over. I went in blind in December with only a marking periodish amount of Algebra 2 in my system, and somehow pulled through with a 1210. I plan on taking it till I get around the mid 1300 low 1400 mark, or until I can superscore for a godly score.

I want to major in screenwriting, as I have a passion for writing. I took a screenwriting class at NYU because it seemed like something I’d be interested in, and have been passionate about it since. I’ve currently written 3 rough pilot scripts (ranging from 30-63 pages each), so I feel like I might possibly have that going for me (in that I am a bit experienced).

At school I am one of the co-captains of my sailing team which was founded this year, and will continue into my senior year. I am a member and contributor to our literary magazine, and I am apart of a club that works with the Make-A-Wish Foundation.

So, please assess if you guys think I even have a chance of getting in? My parents are both university teachers and are under the impression that USC might accept more kids after the entire Lori Loughlin scandal but I honestly doubt it.