Chances of Getting into Duke?

Duke Univeristy in NC is my dream school, and I was just looking for some insight into my chances of getting in.
I have a 95 UW average, with all my averages being at least a 90 except for one (I got an 86 in physics honors, which is one of the hardest courses my school offers). I’ve taken 4 APs (1 sophomore year, 3 junior year) and gotten a 5 on all of them; in addition, I’ve received the AP Scholar with Honors Award. All my other classes have been Honors, and I plan on taking 5 APs next year and 1 college class with a local college (College German 5). I am part of a science research program and won an award in an international competition. I’ve also been on cheerleading the past 4 years and was JV captain, and am now varsity captain. I’m in Nationals Honors Society and gotten numerous awards within the school. I also have a really good relationship with my two teachers who are writing my letters, of recommendation, also my guidance counselor as well. I’m a very good writer and have a good story to write about for my common app essay (my struggles with depression and anxiety and how I’ve grown as an individual). I work 2 jobs (1 at the local library, and 1 with a youth cheerleading program), and also have done over 100 hours of community service within the past 4 years.
I know the college admission process is very subjective, but I was just looking for some insight. Please be honest and don’t be scared to say something that might upset me. Any tips are also great, thank you so much!

As far as I’ve seen on here, it’s not prudent to write about mental health in college application essays.

Before I judge you based on these stats, can you provide more information like what APs you have done and what your major is going to be. What about your standardized tests like subject tests/SAT/ACT?