Chances of getting into UC's?

I’m a junior in high school and I really am aiming to get into UCI, but I’m not so sure if I have good chances.

GPA: 3.6 (but I got a C in algebra 2 H first semester last year ): )
Weighted GPA: 4.2
SAT: currently 1380 but i didn’t really study and can probably raise it
1 AP sophomore year (I got a 3 on test), 3 this year (and 4 next year)

Extracurriculars:
Speech and Debate (this year and next)
Student Council (this year and next)
Drill Team (freshman and sophomore year)
CSF (all years)
Library Homework Helper (tutor children)
Church Youth Group (Treasurer and Publicity)
(planning on getting a job this summer as well)

Extra Information:
Political Science Major
African-American

First you need to calculate all your UC GPA’s by using the linked calculator: https://rogerhub.com/gpa-calculator-uc/

UC’s only use 10-11th grades in their GPA calculation but you do need to pass all a-g course requirements with a C or higher. Senior year grades will not be included but your Senior course rigor will be noted.

Please repost with your Unweighted UC GPA, Capped weighted UC GPA and Fully Weighted UC GPA.

Anything under a 4.0 capped weighted UC GPA will be a tough admit. UC’s also do not consider race/ethnicity in their admission decisions and they do tend to be very GPA focused, however if you have solid essays and EC’s then your chances can be higher.

Below is some statistical data based on 2018 admits for all the UC’s.

2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.40-3.79 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 1%
UCLA: 2%
UCSD: 7%
UCSB: 8%
UCI: 7%
UCD: 14%
UCSC: 33%
UCR: 49%
UCM: 82%

2018 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 10%
UCLA: 9%
UCSD: 34%
UCSB: 38%
UCD: 41%
UCI: 38%
UCSC: 70%
UCR: 84%
UCM: 95%

2018 UC capped weighted GPA averages:
UCB: 4.23
UCLA: 4.23
UCSD: 4.16
UCSB: 4.13
UCI: 4.13
UCD: 4.11
UCSC: 3.96
UCR: 3.81
UCM: 3.71

2018 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT:

UCB: 1360-1540

UCLA: 1340-1540
UCSD: 1300-1520
UCSB: 1270-1500
UCD: 1220-1480
UCI: 1230-1490
UCSC: 1210-1450
UCR: 1130-1380
UCM: 1020-1280