Chances Thread

epsilon9090 · December 3, 2006, 3:12pm

Let’s start a chain chances thread. Post your stats (CC nickname, ACT/SAT, unweighed/UMich GPA, state and application completion date), and then copy and paste the list to keep it ongoing. Then, periodically people can edit the list and post chance approximations.

<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
</ol>

tdiamond14 · December 3, 2006, 3:38pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING</li>
</ol>

epsilon9090 · December 3, 2006, 5:24pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100% chance</li>
</ol>

willovegod · December 3, 2006, 5:28pm

<ol>
<li> willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA</li>
</ol>

tdiamond14 · December 3, 2006, 5:28pm

i wouldn't say 100%...

not for engineering

facedown · December 3, 2006, 6:37pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100% chance</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA</li>
</ol>

lvp989 · December 3, 2006, 6:53pm

5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines

epsilon9090 · December 3, 2006, 7:45pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
</ol>

I retain a 100% on #2...he is in-state...if he didn't get in I'd be surprised.
Someone might wanna change #5...I'm not too familiar with their strictness factor, but based on talk I'd give that a 50%.

nyjeff06 · December 3, 2006, 7:57pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs</li>
</ol>

willovegod · December 3, 2006, 8:04pm

epsilon, lol i think your percentages are kind of high... 90% chance for me?

zkevin · December 3, 2006, 8:06pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 95%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 85%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 90%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs - 90%</li>
</ol>

mastert_tang · December 3, 2006, 8:08pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs</li>
<li>Mastert Tang, 2230 SAT, 32 ACT, 3.5 UM GPA, OH, complete 11/22</li>
</ol>

adidas3130 · December 3, 2006, 8:11pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs</li>
<li>Mastert Tang, 2230 SAT, 32 ACT, 3.5 UM GPA, OH, complete 11/22</li>
<li>Adidas3130, 2170 SAT (740CR, 690M, 740W), 33 ACT, 3.93 UM GPA, 8aps, IL, complete 11/13, LSA</li>
</ol>

itsmike · December 3, 2006, 9:41pm

there is more than getting accepted than just stats..but what the hell

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs</li>
<li>Mastert Tang, 2230 SAT, 32 ACT, 3.5 UM GPA, OH, complete 11/22</li>
<li>Adidas3130, 2170 SAT (740CR, 690M, 740W), 33 ACT, 3.93 UM GPA, 8aps, IL, complete 11/13, LSA - 95/100%</li>
<li>itsmike, 1910 SAT, 28 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, 9APs, MD, complete 12/1, engineering</li>
</ol>

epsilon9090 · December 3, 2006, 9:57pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs - 85%</li>
<li>Mastert Tang, 2230 SAT, 32 ACT, 3.5 UM GPA, OH, complete 11/22 - 50%</li>
<li>Adidas3130, 2170 SAT (740CR, 690M, 740W), 33 ACT, 3.93 UM GPA, 8aps, IL, complete 11/13, LSA - 95%</li>
<li>itsmike, 1910 SAT, 28 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, 9APs, MD, complete 12/1, engineering - 70%</li>
</ol>

Mike: Umich has to use stats...they get way too many applications to be able to do what Harvard does.

Also, these percentages are not of acceptance, but more like your likability score. Anything can happen, but these ratings should give you a good idea. Lower than 50% is a guaranteed deferral, while above is a mixed bag. Once your start getting into the 80s, it's rare that you would get deferred. Hope this helps.

mastert_tang · December 3, 2006, 10:02pm

ok, I have to ask. Does itsmike have such a higher chance than me because of his GPA, APs, state, or a combination of factors??

sanj8 · December 3, 2006, 10:09pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs - 85%</li>
<li>Mastert Tang, 2230 SAT, 32 ACT, 3.5 UM GPA, OH, complete 11/22 - 50%</li>
<li>Adidas3130, 2170 SAT (740CR, 690M, 740W), 33 ACT, 3.93 UM GPA, 8aps, IL, complete 11/13, LSA - 95%</li>
<li>itsmike, 1910 SAT, 28 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, 9APs, MD, complete 12/1, engineering - 70%</li>
<li>sanj8, 1440/2170 SAT, 3.7-3.8 UM GPA(too lazy to calculate), MD, 7 APs, complete 11/22, LSA/ROSS</li>
</ol>

itsmike · December 3, 2006, 10:18pm

i personally think you have a better chance than me, but your gpa is probably what's hurting you

swttangel · December 3, 2006, 10:44pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs - 85%</li>
<li>Mastert Tang, 2230 SAT, 32 ACT, 3.5 UM GPA, OH, complete 11/22 - 50%</li>
<li>Adidas3130, 2170 SAT (740CR, 690M, 740W), 33 ACT, 3.93 UM GPA, 8aps, IL, complete 11/13, LSA - 95%</li>
<li>itsmike, 1910 SAT, 28 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, 9APs, MD, complete 12/1, engineering - 70%</li>
<li>sanj8, 1440/2170 SAT, 3.7-3.8 UM GPA(too lazy to calculate), MD, 7 APs, complete 11/22, LSA/ROSS</li>
<li>swttangel, 33 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, 9 APs, CA, complete 11/15, LSA</li>
</ol>

finalthrust · December 3, 2006, 10:52pm

<ol>
<li>Example, 36 ACT, 4.0 UM GPA, MI, complete 8/01/06 - 100% chance</li>
<li>Tdiamond14, 32 ACT, 4.0 um GPA, MI, complete 11/15/06, 3 ap's, ENGINEERING - 100%</li>
<li>willovegod, 29 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, IL, complete 11/7/06, 7 ap's, LSA - 90%</li>
<li>facedown, 740v/750m, 31 ACT, 3.8 UM GPA, MI, complete 11/13/06, 6 ap's, LSA - 92%
5.lvp989,640v/630m/710w,27 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, complete 10/25, 4 ap's, Kines - 50%</li>
<li>Nyjeff06, 740 m/720 cr/730 w, 34 ACT, 3.75-3.82 UM GPA, complete 11/20, 9 APs - 85%</li>
<li>Mastert Tang, 2230 SAT, 32 ACT, 3.5 UM GPA, OH, complete 11/22 - 50%</li>
<li>Adidas3130, 2170 SAT (740CR, 690M, 740W), 33 ACT, 3.93 UM GPA, 8aps, IL, complete 11/13, LSA - 95%</li>
<li>itsmike, 1910 SAT, 28 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, 9APs, MD, complete 12/1, engineering - 70%</li>
<li>sanj8, 1440/2170 SAT, 3.7-3.8 UM GPA(too lazy to calculate), MD, 7 APs, complete 11/22, LSA/ROSS</li>
<li>swttangel, 33 ACT, 3.7 UM GPA, 9 APs, CA, complete 11/15, LSA</li>
<li>finalthrust, M-800 CR-740 W-630, 3.7~3.8 UM GPA, International, 5APs, Complete 11/09, LSA/ROSS</li>
</ol>

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