Chances?

Hi, I applied to Syracuse University on December 18, regular decision. I would have done ED, but financial issues made that a less than desirable option, in case I got in and couldn’t afford to go. If I get in and can afford it, Syracuse is my top choice. Anyone mind assessing my chances to get in?
Applied to Newhouse first choice, Arts and Sciences second choice
GPA: 2.96 UW/3.2 W (Low math scores bring this down, overall around a B student with tough schedule)
SAT: 1840 superscore, 1810 single (650 reading, 550 math, 640 writing)
2 sport varsity athlete
Editor of school newspaper
Lots of volunteer work
Member of National Spanish Honor Society
Taken 11 total Honors/APs
I know that Newhouse is a huge reach for me, and I will most likely not get into Newhouse, but I figured I would at least apply since I would plan on transferring in eventually. However, I feel that I have a strong chance of getting into Arts and Sciences. Thoughts?

I think your GPA could be problematic for Syracuse. Only 7% of the students have a high school GPA or 2.5 or lower Your SAT Math is at about the 25% level But your Reading and Writing are high for Syracuse-above 75% of the entering students. Are you full pay. I’d guess you’ll get into SU but probably not Newhouse.

thanks for the information, anyone else care to share their thoughts?