Class of 2018: Projected Acceptance Rate

Colleges and Universities A-Z Tufts University
1

<p>Hello CC-ers! </p>

<p>I just came across the following "Tufts: So Hot Right Now" article (<a href="http://now.tufts.edu/articles/tufts-hot"&gt;http://now.tufts.edu/articles/tufts-hot&lt;/a&gt;) detailing how the school's popularity and admissions figures continue to rise. The math geek in me couldn't help but take the available data and forecast some estimates around what this would look like in terms of our overall admit rate, and the results are fascinating. I'm curious what others think...here's my logic:</p>

<p>There were a total of 19,081 applicants for the Class of 2018. Total enrolled students for each class hovers around 1,320. </p>

<p>Here's where it gets interesting: Not only was there a 3.5 increase in overall applicants, but there was a 10% increase in binding early decision applicants, totaling 1,748. According to a Tufts Daily article from last year (<a href="http://www.tuftsdaily.com/news/class-of-2017-most-selective-to-date-1.2820935"&gt;http://www.tuftsdaily.com/news/class-of-2017-most-selective-to-date-1.2820935&lt;/a&gt;) coupled with c/o 2017 Profile from the admissions website (<a href="http://admissions.tufts.edu/apply/accepted-student-profile/"&gt;http://admissions.tufts.edu/apply/accepted-student-profile/&lt;/a&gt;), 41% of the 1,314 members of the class of 2017 (539 students) were E.D., so with a 10% increase in E.D. applicants and relatively consistent acceptance rate, we can extrapolate this year's accepted E.D. pool would be around 593 students.</p>

<p>This leaves only 727 spots left for the entire 17,339 regular decision applicants. Last year, 3,471 out of 18,419 total applicants were offered admission. Subtract the 539 offered early decision and that leaves 2,932 offers of admission for the remaining 775 spots, or a 26% yield among regular decision admits.</p>

<p>The yield is likely to increase this year, but to be conservative, lets apply that same 26% yield to this year's class, and that would mean that a total of 2,796 of regular decision applicants will be offered admission.</p>

<p>So, the aggregate totals would now be 593 + 2,796, or 3389 students offered admission, out of a total of 19,081 applicants, with a predicted overall 17.7% acceptance rate, and that's assuming the E.D. acceptance rate and R.D. yields are consistent. If either of those figures are more selective (lower acceptance rate and/or higher yield), this number could even go sub 17%. </p>

<p>And that, my friends, is what too much time on your hands plus a genuine fascination in admissions trends looks like :-) Best of luck to all applicants! </p>

2

<p>Why do you think the ED applications in particular went up so much this year? I know Lee Coffin attributes the rise to the welcoming presence of the Tufts Admissions blog, etc., along with increased international visibility. </p>

3

<p>That’s definitely smart and Interesting logic. Did you also factor in potential ED2 results? Regardless, a very low acceptance rate is expected. I’m pumped to be a Jumbo next Fall! </p>

4

<p>Wait, if 593 students enrolled via Early Decision last year, and the Tufts Class of 2018 Facebook group has 554 members, does this mean that only a couple dozen students will be offered admission via EDII?</p>

<p>If so, I think I know what to expect in the following week(s) for my ED II result :(</p>

5

<p>According to my friend who got in ED1, most of those people aren’t actually in the class of 2018 haha. There’s a whole slew of admissions officers and other admins, plus people from the class of 2017 who joined to mess with the incoming freshmen. So I’d guess there’s 300 (give or take) in there who’ve actually been admitted for the class of 2018, which leaves plenty of room for ED2s. </p>