Click Here and Get Epic Chanced

Chance Me / Match Me!
1

<p>No need to make such a big deal about it. I just need...</p>

<p>UW GPA
W GPA
Max possible gpa at your school
each sat score
each act score
psat if you have it
national merit status (probably best to predict)
number of ap exams offerred by school
gender, race, state, citizenship,
if you received community assistance
class rank and class size
high school type
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year)
sat subject test scores
ib test scores if you do that
if you'rs famous
primary languagw at home
if you've ever been suspended or anything
if your family is famous
family income
each parent's educgion level
ec load
athletics load
level of hardship
essay quality and if you're getting help
high school dfficulty/quality
scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?)
leadership</p>

<p>List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices...nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.</p>

<p>Also, promise to report to me where you eventually get in.</p>

<p>Put in all this work, and I won't disappoint you.</p>

2

<p>UW: 1.34
W: 4.7/5.5
ACT: Reading:31 Math: 36 Science:24 English: 18 (writng):11
NMSF: Commended
APs: French Lit, Computer Sci AB, APUSH (all 3)
gender: male
Race: Mutt
Family Tuition: IDK, I ran away from home at age 3
Famous: My Grandfather was a suicide bomber and my brother inspired 2 Law and order SVU episodes</p>

<p>ecs: Work at Brothel, Janitor for Playboy Manision
Essay: I paid off a guy who was admitted to Cornell Last year
Leadership: Senior Assosiate at Jamie’s Prime Brothel, Student Council rebellion leader</p>

<p>Safteys: Upenn Wharton
Middle: MiddleBurry, Vassar, Smith,
Reach: Ole Miss</p>

<p>CHANCE ME!!!</p>

<p>Thanks Philo</p>

3

<p>i need your superscore act, too</p>

<p>and confirmation that you arent trolling ^_^</p>

<p>though even if you are im chancing you</p>

4

<p>Omg u srs?</p>

5

<p>^Seriously?</p>

<p>Anyway, chance me as well as you can. I’m a sophomore, so most of these are projected, but I’ll make a note of what is projected vs. actual statistics. </p>

<p>No need to make such a big deal about it. I just need…</p>

<p>UW GPA: Freshman Yr (3.42), Sophomore Year (3.75-3.82, sorry for the range), Junior Year (3.82/projected)
W GPA: Our school doesn’t weight GPA’s, but it would be very high, as I take all honors and AP’s.
Max possible gpa at your school: 4.0
each sat score: N/A, 208 PSAT score if that carries any weight, but I’m not taking the SAT.
each act score: 35 (I took it in February, this is an actual number, not projected)
(36 Science/36 Writing/35 Math/32 Reading/11 Writing)
psat if you have it: 208
national merit status (probably best to predict): IDK but probably not a finalist if at all.
number of ap exams offerred by school: 13
gender, race, state, citizenship: Male, White, NJ, U.S. Citizen
if you received community assistance: Nope.
class rank and class size: 125 and no class rank; around 18-20th percentile (projected)
high school type: Excellent private, about half of students attend top 60 universities and colleges. (14.5% Ivy)
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year): AP European History (5/Projected), AP Psychology (4/Projected), AP Lit (5/Projected), AP U.S. History (5/Projected)
sat subject test scores: 800 Chemistry, will take U.S. History as well (and maybe Math). I’d assume similar scores on those (high 700’s most likely)
ib test scores if you do that: N/A
if you’rs famous: Nope.
primary languagw at home: English
if you’ve ever been suspended or anything: Nope.
if your family is famous: Nope.
family income: 100K-200K
each parent’s educgion level: Father, MBA from Stern; Mother, Masters from CMU
ec load: 3 clubs, JV tennis (captain this year, prob Varsity next yr); lots of meaningful community service and had a room named after me (150 hours so far); I teach tennis at a certified D1 Facility (a very prestigious facility)
athletics load: Tennis
level of hardship: Ehh… Negligible.
essay quality and if you’re getting help: Excellent, no help (English is probably my best subject)
high school dfficulty/quality: Excellent, one of the best in the state.
scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?): Um… not sure how to answer this. But my school is full of very smart people and I consider myself to be one of the smarter ones.
leadership: Not much yet, but will be VP of Ethics Bowl next yr and am the JV Tennis captain. Will be more later.</p>

<p>An added note: My dad was battling cancer during my freshman year- that’s why my GPA was so low (relatively). Not sure if this matters, but I just wanted to put it out there.</p>

<p>List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices…nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.</p>

<p>University of Chicago (my dream school, probably won’t happen)
Cornell
Wash U (Olin)
Carnegie Mellon (Tepper)
NYU (Stern)
U Mich (Ross)
Boston College
Emory
Rice
Brandeis</p>

<p>Safeties:
U Maryland- College Park
Tulane
Syracuse</p>

<p>Thanks for doing this. :)</p>

6

<p>YES. And when I’m done, I’ll write a rebuttal of gibby’s thesis that chancing is impossible.</p>

7

<p>No need to make such a big deal about it. I just need…</p>

<p>UW GPA 3.79
W GPA 4.07
Max possible gpa at your school 4.7
each sat score 2070 (710w, 700m, 660 cr)
Math 2: 760
Mbio : 720
each act score 33 composite, 36 s, 29 m, 34 w, 31
number of ap exams offerred by school: 12ish
gender, race, state, citizenship, :white , male, CA, us
class rank and class size: applied at 28 of 400, now am 19 of 398
high school type: public
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year)
Calc ab: 3
APUSH: 4
Aplang: 5
Apchem: 4-5
Apbio: 5
Calc bc: 3-5
Apgopo: 5
if you’rs famous: nope!
primary languagw at home: English
if you’ve ever been suspended or anything: nope
if your family is famous: nope
family income: >100k
each parent’s educgion level: dad has a masters in kinesiology, mom was a safety engineer( 4 yr uni)
ec load: band for 4 years, marching band 4 years, drumline 4 years, band leadership 2 years, 3 leadership titles senior year
athletics load: none
level of hardship: colorblind? So none haha
essay quality and if you’re getting help: good-very good, no help
high school dfficulty/quality: 860-890 API so pretty good/ difficult
scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?)mostly a’s, 4b’s, 1 c
leadership
Band Coucil, Sax section Leader, drumline captain
List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices…nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.
UCLA( letters and sciences)
UCSD( molecular bio)</p>

8

<p>Very cool. for nj2015er</p>

<p>List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices…nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.</p>

<p>University of Chicago (my dream school, probably won’t happen) - 25%
Cornell - 37%
Wash U (Olin) - 45%
Carnegie Mellon (Tepper) - 69%
NYU (Stern) - 86%
U Mich (Ross) - 91%
Boston College - 80%
Emory - 59%
Rice - 47%
Brandeis - 91%</p>

<p>Safeties:
U Maryland- College Park - 99%
Tulane - 96%
Syracuse - 94%</p>

<p>So, I’m assuming that these are ranked by preference. If they aren’t, grrr.</p>

<p>I’m making this Python program (for fun more than anything) to help you use numbers like these (i.e., these, or numbers you conjecture or obtain from other sources) to predict your chance of getting into at least one of a certain pool of schools. I’ll use it to make all of this easier.</p>

<p>First time writing a program to do something actually useful. Woo. There are a lot of ways I could do it and no matter what I choose, it probably won’t look pretty. ^_^</p>

9

<p>Thank you so much for taking the time to do this… it really means a lot.</p>

10

<p>UW GPA: 4.0 high school
W GPA: N/A
Max possible gpa at your school: 4.0
each sat score: 700 CR, 760 M, 730 W
each act score
psat if you have it
national merit status (probably best to predict): N/A
number of ap exams offerred by school: AP wasn’t really offered, but I wrote 3
gender, race, state, citizenship, : White male
if you received community assistance: No
class rank and class size: 2/370 (salutatorian)
high school type: public
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year): 5 calc AB, 4 english lit
sat subject test scores: 800 math 2, 780 physics, 760 english
ib test scores if you do that
if you’rs famous
primary languagw at home: English
if you’ve ever been suspended or anything: no
if your family is famous
family income: 140,000
each parent’s educgion level: some college for one, bachelor’s degree for other
ec load: committed to a few activities I’ve enjoyed for around a decade, founded a club
athletics load
level of hardship: low
essay quality and if you’re getting help: high
high school dfficulty/quality: high
scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?): rank speaks for itself
leadership: yes</p>

<p>Chance me for all of the ivies, stanford, MIT please</p>

11

<p>Finished!</p>

<p>


#Chances at One</p>

<h1>I made this Python program (for fun more than anything) to help you use numbers like these (i.e., these, or numbers you conjecture or obtain from other sources) to predict your chance of getting into at least one of a certain pool of schools.</h1>

<h1>Enjoy, use at own risk, etc.</h1>

<h1>Creating a list of percent chances...</h1>

<h1>Determine pool size.</h1>

<p>poolsize = input("How many schools to be considered?: ")</p>

<h1>Add each percentage chance into pool.</h1>

<p>pool = [0]
for each in range(poolsize):
    pool.append (input("Input chance of admission to a school in decimal form: "))
del pool[0]
print pool</p>

<h1>Compute P(At Least One) with statistical formula P = 1 - ()</h1>

<p>keynum=1
for each in pool:
    keynum = keynum * (1-each)
chance = 1 - keynum</p>

<h1>Print it!</h1>

<p>print chance

</p>

<p>By worst to best chances on your list:</p>

<p>Chicago or Cornell: 52.75%
These above or Wash: 74.01%
These above or Rice: 86.74%
These above or Emory: 94.56%
These above or Mellon: 98.31%</p>

<p>Diminishing returns as you go. As you can see, you are extremely likely to get into at least one of the schools you are interested in if your behavior and your fortunes are like those with stats similar to yours in the past. You can’t feel superconfident about getting into the top few ‘hardest to get into’ schools on your list, but you do have a good shot.</p>

<p>Most prominent possible source of error:

  • inspecific to major (can’t chance for Stern, just for NYU)</p>

<p>Still for NJ dude. Please return someday to report your decisions — and only when you get all of them.</p>

12

<p>fredferd</p>

<p>UCLA( letters and sciences) - 66%
UCSD( molecular bio) - 77%
Chance of getting into at least one of these: 92.18%
Chances of getting into neither: 7.82%</p>

<p>Good on you! Please post how it goes when it goes.</p>

<p>I bet I could make the program so that it just extracts the numbers and makes a list for me. That would be rad.</p>

13

<p>Awesome! Thanks!</p>

14

<p>UW GPA: 95.25
W GPA: N/A
Max possible gpa at your school: 100
each sat score: Not submitting
each act score: 34C/35E/31M/34R/36S/10W (Superscore: 35C/35E/31M/36R/36S/10W)
psat if you have it: N/A
national merit status (probably best to predict): N/A
number of ap exams offerred by school: 7
gender, race, state, citizenship: Male, White, NY, US
if you received community assistance: No
class rank and class size: <em>School only ranks to decile</em> Top 10% of 300
high school type: Public
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year): Calc AB (5), Bio (5), APUSH (4), English Lit.
sat subject test scores: Math II - 750, Bio-M - 730. Will take more and improve, hoping for at least two with scores over 760
ib test scores if you do that: N/A
if you’rs famous: No
primary language at home: English
if you’ve ever been suspended or anything: Nope
if your family is famous: No
family income: 70k-80k
each parent’s educgion level: Mother - master’s degree, Father - High school, Step-father - Associate’s degree
ec load: Not very good. A few internships (Northwestern Mutual & Biochem Lab), my job, a few clubs
athletics load: Varsity Lacrosse
level of hardship: Not too difficult
essay quality and if you’re getting help: Really good. Only grammatical help.
high school dfficulty/quality: High school not very difficult and there are few AP options (even less of interest to me). By graduation I will have taken 7 Dual-enrollment classes - 3 at my school, and the other 4 at a local college campus. A’s in everything except a dual-enrollment French class taken at school, in which I have Received a B.
scholarly talent (how do you perform in class?): Very well
leadership: None</p>

<p>List of Schools (In levels of preference):</p>

<p>Brown (ED)
Wesleyan, Northwestern, Tufts
Cornell
Dartmouth, Williams
Rice</p>

15

<p>And now…version 2.0 of the Chances at One Program. Now I can just c/p text and watch it go, rather than manually enter each unit. Woo.</p>

<p>


#Collect and ready data.
data=raw_input("Input data (in percent): ")
data = data.split("%")
del data[-1]</p>

<h1>Turn into organized list.</h1>

<p>pool = [0]
for each in data:
    pool.append (int(each[-2:]) / 100.0)
del pool[0]
print pool</p>

<h1>Compute P(At Least One) with statistical formula P = 1 - ()</h1>

<p>keynum=1
for each in pool:
    keynum = keynum * (1-each)
chance = 1 - keynum</p>

<h1>Print it!</h1>

<p>print "The probability that you'll get into at least one of these schools is:", chance * 100, "percent"

</p>

<p>Next iteration should produce lots of different combinations from one set of data. It took me a good five minutes to prepare post 11. I’m going to reduce it to 5 seconds.</p>

16

<p>Can you run it on me for economics? I posted above.</p>

17

<p>BOOYA. More info, better formatting, all I have to do is c/p, press enter, and c/p.</p>

<p>I can input this whole:

</p>

<p>and out comes this:</p>

<p>[0.25, 0.37, 0.45, 0.47, 0.59, 0.69, 0.8, 0.86, 0.91, 0.91, 0.94, 0.96, 0.99]</p>

<p>25.0 percent chance of getting into 1 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
52.75 percent chance of getting into 2 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
74.0125 percent chance of getting into 3 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
86.226625 percent chance of getting into 4 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
94.35291625 percent chance of getting into 5 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
98.2494040375 percent chance of getting into 6 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
99.6498808075 percent chance of getting into 7 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
99.9509833131 percent chance of getting into 8 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
99.9955884982 percent chance of getting into 9 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
99.9996029648 percent chance of getting into 10 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
99.9999761779 percent chance of getting into 11 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
99.9999990471 percent chance of getting into 12 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
99.9999999905 percent chance of getting into 13 of most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
The probability that you’ll get into at least one of these schools is: 99.9999999905 percent.</p>

<p>Funfunfunfun.</p>

18

<p>For game of thrones.</p>

<p>Columbia - 26%
Princeton - 17%
Stanford - 17%
Brown - 35%
Cornell - 46%
Dartmouth - 27%
Harvard - 16%
MIT - 11%
Penn - 43%
Yale - 18%</p>

<p>[0.11, 0.16, 0.17, 0.17, 0.18, 0.26, 0.27, 0.35, 0.43, 0.46]</p>

<p>11.0 percent chance for 1 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
25.24 percent chance for 2 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
37.9492 percent chance for 3 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
48.497836 percent chance for 4 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
57.76822552 percent chance for 5 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
68.7484868848 percent chance for 6 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
77.1863954259 percent chance for 7 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
85.1711570268 percent chance for 8 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
91.5475595053 percent chance for 9 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
95.4356821329 percent chance for 10 most difficult-for-you-to-get-into schools.
The probability that you’ll get into at least one of these schools is: 95.4356821329 percent.</p>

<p>[See how I simplified the text?]</p>

<p>So, while your chance of getting into at least one are pretty decent, your chances of getting into any specific college on your list is pretty low. It’s funny, though — compared to average person, your chances of getting in are great. </p>

<p>That’s Ivy League admissions for you. >.></p>

19

<p>Ok, this is awesome. Chance me!</p>

<p>UW GPA : 90
W GPA : 96
Max possible gpa at your school : 100
each sat score : 770 Math, 700 (10) Writing, 690 Reading
each act score : N/A
psat if you have it : 201
national merit status (probably best to predict) : I have no idea.
number of ap exams offerred by school : 10> but <20
gender, race, state, citizenship : Male, Asian, NJ, Immigrant (Korean)
if you received community assistance : N/A
class rank and class size : Top 20% (School only does by 20%)
high school type : Large public
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year) :
All projected (I’m a Junior) - Macro=4/5 Chem=5 English=4/5, taking 3 or 4 more AP Senior year.
sat subject test scores : None yet, expecting 700+ in Chem, Korean, and Math I
ib test scores if you do that : N/A
if you’rs famous : School Mascot (school famous, ahahaha)
primary language at home : Korean
if you’ve ever been suspended or anything : N/A
if your family is famous : N/A
family income : <20,000
each parent’s education level : First generation
ec load : One of the most involved. Model UN, Debate, JSA chapter, Mentor, Created 1 (will be 2) clubs, regular volunteer at hospital, regular intern at an Assemblywoman’s office, maybe a position at the Franklin Institute.
athletics load : School Mascot (attends home football games)
level of hardship : Just your average immigrant stuff
essay quality and if you’re getting help : Probably good, I can write decently.
high school dfficulty/quality : Good for public, maybe nationally ranked?
scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?) : Teachers love me.
leadership : Model UN (numerous), founder/president of 1 (maybe 2) clubs. </p>

<p>Chance me for Political Science/International Relations

  1. Georgetown (SFS or College)
  2. Johns Hopkins
  3. U Penn
  4. University of Virginia (OOS)
  5. New York University</p>

<p>Safeties (IDK if they really are)

  1. Rutgers-New Brunswick
  2. American University
  3. Boston University</p>

<p>Once again, awesome stuff!</p>

20

<p>UW GPA: 3.89
W GPA: 4.1
Max possible gpa at your school: 4.3
each sat score: Reading: 680, Writing 660, Math: 580.
number of ap exams offerred by school: AP classes only offered to juniors and seniors. 2 junior year, two senior year (with other honors courses and senior year did in school tutoring instead of AP…guidance councilor recommended it)
gender, race, state, citizenship, : female, white, Boston area
class rank and class size: 19 of 198
high school type: Very challenging public school (ranked high in the country)
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year): AP psychology: 5, AP lit: 4, AP language: 4, AP U.S History: 4
sat subject test scores: bio E: 640, Literature: 660, U.S History: 740
primary languagw at home: english
if you’ve ever been suspended or anything: never
family income: mid to upper class
each parent’s education level: associates and bachelor’s
ec load and athletics load: 4 years in Red Cross Club, 4 years Cross Country, 4 Years Spring Track, 4 Years Winter track, Captain of Cross Country 2 years, Volunteer at elementary school 2 years, Youth group 3 years, prayer leader on service trip, National Honors Society, Officer of NHS, random community service here and there
level of hardship: school top ranked, considered to be taking a hard course load with extra curricula’s
essay quality and if you’re getting help: Pretty good, solid
high school dfficulty/quality: very challenging
scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?): Very well. Well liked by teachers, go above and beyond in class
leadership: mentor at elementary school, captain of cross country, NHS officer, prayer leader, </p>

<ol>
<li>University of Michigan (No clue where I stand here) (LSA college)</li>
<li>UPenn </li>
<li>Clemson</li>
<li>Elon</li>
<li>Northeastern </li>
<li>Quinnipiac</li>
<li>University of Delaware</li>
<li>University of Richmond</li>
<li>University of New Hampshire</li>
<li>University of Connecticut</li>
<li>University of Virginia</li>
<li>Vanderbilt</li>
</ol>

<p>Also, promise to report to me where you eventually get in.</p>

<p>Put in all this work, and I won’t disappoint you.</p>