<p>I disagree.</p>
<p>There is ALWAYS a reason why someone got in and why someone did not.</p>
<p>The reason can even be that: the college admissions office got drunk on a party night so they randomly accepted and rejected people.</p>
<p>But most of the times, they are usually calm people that judge applicants holistically. Keep in mind that the “judges” are not PhD professors. Their level of reasoning can perhaps be even lower than some of the people here at certain times (e.g. when they’re tired). Hence, the chancing accuracy here is not abysmal, because many of us are just like them. (I did not say they’re accurate, but they are not completely wrong or unforgiving)</p>