<p>We’ve been over the whole naviance discussion, classicrockerdad. You can estimate whatever chances you want based on applicants from your high school, yet you don’t know the context behind the applicants outside of their academic qualifications alone. Guess what? ECs matter as much or more than academic stats at the elite privates. On top of that, connections and other factors will matter as well - things that cannot be gleamed from naviance.</p>